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Government Spending Shocks and the Multiplier : New Evidence from the U.S. Based on Natural Disasters
Yang, Weonho - 2012
, the expenditure associated with military build-ups affects primarily the defense sector so that the resulting multiplier … powerful instrument for identifying government spending shocks. Furthermore, we show that the multiplier pertaining to non …-defense government spending is higher than the defense-spending multiplier estimated in the literature using military build-ups …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013097432
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Natural Disasters, Government Spending, and the Fiscal Multiplier
Fidrmuc, Jan - 2016
We estimate the fiscal multiplier associated with shocks to government spending. We consider increases in government … is reflected in the value taken by the fiscal multiplier. This result is obtained when we identify fiscal shocks by the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013000433
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Private Debt Overhang and the Government Spending Multiplier : Evidence for the United States
Bernardini, Marco - 2015
Using state-dependent local projection methods and historical U.S. data, we find that government spending multipliers are considerably larger in periods of private debt overhang. In particular, we find significant crowding-out of personal consumption and investment in low-debt states, resulting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024365
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The Limits of Political Compromise : Debt Ceilings and Political Turnover
Cunha, Alexandre B. - 2017
We study the desirability of limits on the public debt and of political turnover in an economy where incumbents have an incentive to set public expenditures above the socially optimal level due to rent-seeking motives. Parties alternate in office and cannot commit to future policies, but they...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956707
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Successful Fiscal Adjustments - Does Choice of Fiscal Instrument Matter?
Holden, Steinar; Midthjell, Nina - 2021
We examine fiscal adjustment episodes in 24 OECD countries in order to find how austerity affects debt and growth, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315701
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Did Austerity Cause Brexit?
Fetzer, Thiemo - 2018
Did austerity cause Brexit? This paper shows that the rise of popular support for the UK Independence Party (UKIP), as … to austerity since 2010. In addition to exploiting data from the population of all electoral contests in the UK since … have resulted in a Remain victory had it not been for a range of austerity-induced welfare reforms. Further, auxiliary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910997
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Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Adjustment : A Tale of Two Approaches
Yang, Weonho - 2013
We investigate the short-term effects of fiscal adjustment on economic activity in 20 OECD countries from 1970 to 2009. We compare two approaches: the traditional approach based on changes in cyclically adjusted primary balance (CAPB) and the narrative approach based on historical records....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075620
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Trust in Government and Fiscal Adjustments
Bursian, Dirk - 2013
The paper looks at the determinants of fiscal adjustments as reflected in the primary surplus of countries. Our conjecture is that governments will usually find it more attractive to pursue fiscal adjustments in a situation of relatively high growth, but based on a simple stylized model of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013079290
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Revisiting the Narrative Approach of Estimating Tax Multipliers
Hebous, Shafik - 2014
A number of recent studies regress a “narratively” identified measure of a macroeconomic shock directly on an outcome variable. In this note, we argue that this approach can be viewed as the reduced-form regression of an instrumental variable approach in which the narrative time series is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044520
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Fiscal Transfers and Fiscal Sustainability
Potrafke, Niklas - 2014
We examine whether US and German state governments pursue sustainable fiscal policies taking into account fiscal transfers. Using panel data techniques we investigate whether the debt-to-GDP ratio had a positive influence on the primary surplus (Bohn-model). We show that including/excluding...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013055378