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This paper takes a fresh look at the nature of financial and real business cycles in OECD countries using annual data series and shorter quarterly and monthly economic indicators. It first analyses the main characteristics of the cycle, including the length, amplitude, asymmetry and changes of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013105148
Economic research has considered Private Debt a determinant of GDP growth for years. By keeping this perspective, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012953691
This paper employs a stylized New Keynesian DSGE model for a monetary union to analyze whether cyclical inflation differentials can be explained by cross-country differences concerning the characteristics of financial markets. Our results suggest that empirically plausible degrees of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136243
We present a network model of the interbank market in which optimizing risk averse banks lend to each other and invest in non-liquid assets. Market clearing takes place through a tâtonnement process which yields the equilibrium price, while traded quantities are determined by means of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013028909
across countries with lower average stock market volatility, crises are more frequent in countries with poor creditor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091211
Data show that better creditor protection is correlated across countries with lower average stock market volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013093466
probability of macroeconomic catastrophes à la Barro (2006), and to the case of an uncertain trend or volatility of growth à la …Because of the uncertainty about how to model the growth process of our economy, there is still much confusion about … assuming that the random walk of economic growth is affected by some parametric uncertainty. We show that the same arguments …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315817
and short-term planning horizon can also lead to such underinvestment. Subsequently, banks can stimulate growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008853853
-run demand shocks. In this setup, the volatility of a firm's exports depends not only on the diversification of its destination … doubt on the commonly held belief that diversification must decrease volatility … destinations makes the firm more likely to export occasionally to some markets, thereby raising volatility. These results cast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013048894
We revisit the relationship between financial development and economic growth in a panel of 52 middle income countries … financial development does not have a linear positive long-run impact on economic growth in this sample. When we consider a non …-linear relationship between financial development and growth, we find an inverted U-shaped relationship between finance and growth in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013054321