Showing 1 - 10 of 458
We investigate the potential for statistical forecasting of aggregate oil and gas investment on the Norwegian … random walk benchmark in an out-of-sample environment. Second, lags of investment growth, crude oil price growth and realized … volatility is found to be adequate predictors for the investment growth. Finally, there is a clear benefit from re-estimating the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012979540
The ifo Investment Survey asks firms in the German manufacturing sector about the importance of sales, technological … factors, finance, return expectations, and macroeconomic policy for their investment activity in a given year. We show that … these subjective investment determinants 1) capture economically what their labels suggest, and 2) have strong explanatory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315790
’s investment of endogenous size. Using a real option approach in continuous time, we show that profit sharing does not affect a … total investment. We also evaluate the reduction in the firm’s value due to profit sharing, linking this reduction to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005405789
This paper examines the spillover effects of sovereign rating news on European financial markets during the period 2007-2010. Our main finding is that sovereign rating downgrades have statistically and economically significant spillover effects both across countries and financial markets. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013127179
Productivity. We endogenize the accrual of the R&D stocks by estimating an R&D investment function. We find that the marginal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012964191
The conditional equity premium in the model with production is often approximated by assuming a jointly log-normal distribution of the marginal rate of substitution in consumption and the marginal productivity of capital. We show that, for standard parameterization, this premium is about one...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131345
We review the labor market implications of recent real-business-cycle models that successfully replicate the empirical equity premium. We document the fact that all models considered in this survey with the exception of Boldrin, Christiano, and Fisher (2001) imply a negative correlation of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013093653
The paper compares two state-of-art but very distinct methods used in macroeconomics: rational-expectations DSGE and bounded rationality behavioural models. Both models are extended to include a financial friction on the supply side. The result in both models is that production, supply of credit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013011645
Turnovsky (1995) derives in a continuous-time model of a decentralized economy that the correct specification of the firm's objective function is to maximize the initial value of its outstanding securities. The firm value is the discounted flow of real earnings. For the discrete-time version of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013143832
We document the empirical fact that asset prices in the consumption-goods and investment-goods sector behave almost …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013076976