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Concave hiring rules imply that firms respond more to bad shocks than to good shocks. They provide a unified explanation for several seemingly unrelated facts about employment growth in macro and micro data. In particular, they generate countercyclical movement in both aggregate conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956881
This paper evaluates whether macroeconomic uncertainty changes the impact of oil shocks on the oil price. Using a structural threshold VAR model, we endogenously identify different regimes of uncertainty in which we estimate the effects of oil demand and supply shocks. The results show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065379
financial institutions in the transmission of credit and technology shocks to the real economy. A positive credit shock, defined … between loan and deposit rates. The effects of the credit shock tend to be highly persistent even without price rigidities and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119521
that a shock to the net flow from unemployment to employment drive the unemployment rate and the participation rate in … opposite directions while a shock to the net flow from not in the labour force to unemployment drives the rates in the same …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051614
This paper employs a panel vector autoregressive model for the member countries of the Euro Area to explore the role of banks during the slump of the real economy that followed the financial crisis. In particular, we seek to quantify the macroeconomic effects of adverse loan supply shocks, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316038
The large regional variation in minimum wage levels in the period 2002-08 in China implies that Chinese manufacturing firms experienced competitive shocks as a function of firm location and their low-wage employment share. We find that minimum wage hikes accelerate the input substitution from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012947448
Uncertainty about the future course of the economy is a possible driver of aggregate fluctuations. To identify the different dimensions of uncertainty in the macroeconomy we construct a large dataset covering all types of economic uncertainty. We then identify two fundamental factors which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013045927
Shocks to bank lending, risk-taking and securitization activities that are orthogonal to real economy and monetary … type of shock. Expansionary securitization shocks lead to a permanent rise in real GDP and a fall in inflation. Bank … lending and risk-taking shocks, in contrast, have only a temporary effect on real GDP and tend to lead to a (moderate) rise in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013055428
DSGE models. Our results show that while a quantitative easing shock leads to a significant but temporary rise in output …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092811
shock. Residential investment, by contrast, falls, a result that depends on the systematic reaction of monetary policy. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012955193