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ARCH modelling framework of Engle (1982) and its GARCH generalization of Bollerslev (1986) gave a huge impetus to … describe the most typical features of capital markets like volatility clustering, excess kurtosis and fat tails. As empirical … evidence shows asymmetry is also a prominent feature of stock market returns volatility. The reaction of risk if stock returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316234
Our paper examines the effect of oil price changes on Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) stock markets using nonlinear smooth transition regression (STR) models. Contrary to conventional wisdom, our empirical results reveal that GCC stock markets do not have similar sensitivities to oil price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012914946
return correlations using weekly returns on futures markets and investigate the extent to which multivariate volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094817
This paper estimates a tri-variate VAR-GARCH(1,1)-in-mean model to examine linkages between the stock markets of three … Russia. The adopted framework allows to analyse interdependence by estimating volatility spillovers, and also contagion by … testing for possible shifts in the transmission of volatility following the introduction of the euro and EU accession. Further …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095004
activity. However, using U.S. data since 1950 we show that the macroeconomic response pattern to stock market volatility shocks … decomposition for consumption growth shows that the contribution of stock market volatility becomes negligible as we go from earlier … of stock market volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117909
across countries with lower average stock market volatility, crises are more frequent in countries with poor creditor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091211
Data show that better creditor protection is correlated across countries with lower average stock market volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013093466
volatility spillovers during global financial crisis and tranquil periods. The resulting market interconnectedness is depicted by … between markets and somewhat weaker temporal effects with regard to the US equity market – volatility spillovers decrease when … markets are characterized by greater temporal proximity. Volatility spillovers also present a high degree of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012954361
, volatility, and cross-market GARCH-in-mean effects. Hypotheses about the importance of different channels are tested. The results …. Tri-variate VAR GARCH(1,1)-in-mean models are estimated for 41 emerging market economies (EMEs) in Asia, Europe, Latin …-market GARCH-in-mean effects. The relative importance of regional and global spillovers varies too, with global spillovers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095613
suggests that a global bimetallic system, in which the gold price of silver uctuates, has higher price volatility than a global …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012955754