Showing 1 - 10 of 636
From 1963 through 2015, idiosyncratic risk (IR) is high when market risk (MR) is high. We show that the positive … has roots in fundamentals. Higher market risk predicts greater idiosyncratic earnings volatility as well as dispersion and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012950299
the period 1972:1-2014:12 to forecasts our tail risk indicators with each model in pseudo-real time. Our key finding is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024363
risk include an additional stress component introduced by the recent Basel 2.5 regulation. Our optimization with the Basel … relatively low market volatility may have unintended consequences for banks' risk exposure …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963377
use of model averaging techniques as a way of dealing with the risk of inadvertently using false models in portfolio … management. Evaluation of volatility models is then considered and a simple Value-at-Risk (VaR) diagnostic test is proposed for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316571
In accordance with Basel Capital Accords, the Capital Requirements (CR) for market risk exposure of banks is a … nonlinear function of Value-at-Risk (VaR). Importantly, the CR is calculated based on a bank's actual portfolio, i.e. the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012997323
The paper considers the Markov-Switching GARCH(1,1)-model with time-varying transition probabilities. It derives sufficient conditions for the square of the process to display long memory and provides some additional intuition for the empirical observation that estimated GARCH-parameters often...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012772611
This paper estimates a time-varying AR-GARCH model of inflation producing measures of inflation uncertainty for the euro area, and investigates the linkages between them in a VAR framework, also allowing for the possible impact of the policy regime change associated with the start of EMU in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095747
evidence shows asymmetry is also a prominent feature of stock market returns volatility. The reaction of risk if stock returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316234
How to incorporate hard-to-measure assets into the wealth tax? We analyze the effect of an optimal wealth tax on risk …, actually larger than the risk-free market rate of return. The market equilibrium and a proportional tax on the market portfolio … will ensure an efficient risk allocation between private and public consumption and across projects. Failing to apply an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012951768
This paper explores the introduction of collective risk-sharing elements in defined contribution pension contracts. We … consider status-contingent, age-contingent and asset contingent risk-sharing arrangements. All arrangements raise aggregate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118167