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Trade and Investment in the Global Economy
Anderson, James E. - 2017
We develop a dynamic multi-country trade model with foreign direct investment (FDI) in the form of non-rival technology … actual aggregate cross-section data for 89 countries in 2011 to a hypothetical world without FDI. The gains from FDI amount … to 9% of world's welfare and to 11% of world's trade, unevenly distributed among winners and losers. Net exports of FDI …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012947623
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The U.S. Dollar Exchange Rate and the Demand for Oil
De Schryder, Selien - 2013
Using recent advances in panel data estimation techniques, we find that an appreciation of the US dollar exchange rate leads to a significant decline in oil demand for a sample of 65 oil-importing countries. The estimated effect turns out to be much larger than the impact of a shift in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086048
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Cross-Country Differences in the Effects of Oil Shocks
Peersman, Gert - 2014
We compare the economic consequences of several types of oil shocks across a set of industrialized countries that are structurally very diverse with respect to the role of oil and other forms of energy in their economy. We find considerably different effects across countries, which crucially...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013068762
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Fuel Efficiency Improvements - Feedback Mechanisms and Distributional Effects in the Oil Market
Aune, Finn Roar - 2015
efficiency improvements are policy-induced in certain regions of the world. We are especially interested in feedback mechanisms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013015360
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Country-Specific Oil Supply Shocks and the Global Economy : A Counterfactual Analysis
Mohaddes, Kamiar - 2015
This paper investigates the global macroeconomic consequences of country-specific oil-supply shocks. Our contribution is both theoretical and empirical. On the theoretical side, we develop a model for the global oil market and integrate this within a compact quarterly model of the global economy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013021694
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Oil Prices and the Global Economy : Is it Different this Time Around?
Mohaddes, Kamiar - 2016
The recent plunge in oil prices has brought into question the generally accepted view that lower oil prices are good for the US and the global economy. In this paper, using a quarterly multi-country econometric model, we first show that a fall in oil prices tends relatively quickly to lower...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012985449
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Explosive Oil Prices
Gronwald, Marc - 2021
This paper deals with three aspects of spectacular oil price episodes such as the one witnessed in 2008. First, the concept of temporary explosiveness is proposed as an empirical method for capturing this type of behavior. The application of a recently proposed recursive unit root test shows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315722
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A General Approach to Recovering Market Expectations from Futures Prices with an Application to Crude Oil
Baumeister, Christiane - 2016
Futures markets are a potentially valuable source of information about price expectations. Exploiting this information has proved difficult in practice, because time-varying risk premia often render the futures price a poor measure of the market expectation of the price of the underlying asset....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012996209
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Understanding the Decline in the Price of Oil Since June 2014
Baumeister, Christiane - 2016
Some observers have conjectured that the steep decline in the price of oil between June and December 2014 resulted from positive oil supply shocks in the second half of 2014. Others have suggested that a major shock to oil price expectations occurred when in late November 2014 OPEC announced...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012996804
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Forty Years of Oil Price Fluctuations : Why the Price of Oil May Still Surprise Us
Baumeister, Christiane - 2016
It has been forty years since the oil crisis of 1973/74. This crisis has been one of the defining economic events of the 1970s and has shaped how many economists think about oil price shocks. In recent years, a large literature on the economic determinants of oil price fluctuations has emerged....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012998728