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Product versus Process : Innovation Strategies of Multi-Product Firms
Flach, Lisandra - 2015
We investigate the effect of better access to foreign markets on innovation strategies of multi-product firms in industries with different scope for product differentiation. Industry-specific demand and cost linkages induce a distinction between the returns to innovation. In differentiated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013020507
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Liquidity Shortages and Monetary Policy
Cao, Jin; Illing, Gerhard - 2021
The paper models the interaction between risk taking in the financial sector and central bank policy for the case of pure illiquidity risk. It is shown that, when bad states are highly unlikely, public provision of liquidity may improve the allocation, even though it encourages more risk taking...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316591
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The Role of Monetary Aggregates in the Policy Analysis of the Swiss National Bank
Kirchgässner, Gebhard - 2013
quantity of money and or excess money can be used to forecast inflation. After a preliminary data analysis, money demand …. Using recursive estimates, indicator properties of monetary aggregates for inflation are assessed for the period from 2000 … the one for M2 is strongly influenced by these three observations. While in both cases forecasts for 2010 show inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095154
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Robust Growth Determinants
Doppelhofer, Gernot - 2011
This paper investigates the robustness of determinants of economic growth in the presence of model uncertainty, parameter heterogeneity and outliers. The robust model averaging approach introduced in the paper uses a flexible and parsimonious mixture modeling that allows for fat-tailed errors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013129859
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On Identification of Bayesian DSGE Models
Koop, Gary - 2011
In recent years there has been increasing concern about the identification of parameters in dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models. Given the structure of DSGE models it may be difficult to determine whether a parameter is identified. For the researcher using Bayesian methods, a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013126000
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Structural Interpretation of Vecor Autoregressions with Incomplete Identification : Revisiting the Role of Oil Supply and Demand Shocks
Baumeister, Christiane - 2018
Traditional approaches to structural vector autoregressions can be viewed as special cases of Bayesian inference arising from very strong prior beliefs. These methods can be generalized with a less restrictive formulation that incorporates uncertainty about the identifying assumptions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012926556
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Technology Shocks and Aggregate Fluctuations in an Estimated Hybrid RBC Model
Malley, Jim - 2009
This paper contributes to the on-going empirical debate regarding the role of the RBC model and in particular of technology shocks in explaining aggregate fluctuations. To this end we estimate the model's posterior density using Markov-Chain Monte-Carlo (MCMC) methods. Within this framework we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013160381
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Unraveling the Fortunates of the Fortunate : An Iterative Bayesian Model Averaging (IBMA) Approach
Eicher, Theo S. - 2007
We investigate country heterogeneity in cross-country growth regressions. In contrast to the previous literature that focuses on low-income countries, this study also highlights growth determinants in high-income (OECD) countries. We introduce Iterative Bayesian Model Averaging (IBMA) to address...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012777687
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The Determinants of Economic Growth in European Regions
Cuaresma, Jesús Crespo - 2009
We use Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) to evaluate the robustness of determinants of economic growth in a new dataset of 255 European regions in the 1995-2005 period. We use three different specifications based on (1) the cross-section of regions, (2) the cross-section of regions with country...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012765299
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Assessing Forecast Uncertainties in a VECX Model for Switzerland : An Exercise in Forecast Combination Across Models and Observation Windows
Assenmacher, Katrin - 2009
We investigate the effect of forecast uncertainty in a cointegrating vector error correction model for Switzerland. Forecast uncertainty is evaluated in three different dimensions. First, we investigate the effect on forecasting performance of averaging over forecasts from different models....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012766904