Showing 1 - 10 of 358
We present a simple approach to transform a deterministic numerical model, where several agents simultaneously make decisions, into a stochastic model. This approach, which builds on scenario aggregation, a numerical method developed to solve decision problems under uncertainty, is used to build...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013072087
We study the influence of reason and intuition on decision making over time. Facing a sequence of similar problems, agents can either decide rationally according to expected utility theory or intuitively according to case-based decision theory. Rational decisions are more precise but create...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013030327
We present a simple approach to transform a deterministic numerical model, where several agents simultaneously make decisions, into a stochastic model. This approach, which builds on scenario aggregation, a numerical method developed to solve decision problems under uncertainty, is used to build...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010720640
We study the influence of reason and intuition on decision making over time. Facing a sequence of similar problems, agents can either decide rationally according to expected utility theory or intuitively according to case-based decision theory. Rational decisions are more precise but create...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011103391
The argument that policy risk, i.e., uncertainty about monetary and fiscal policy, has been holding back the economic … recovery in the U.S. during the Great Recession has a large popular appeal. We analyze the role of policy risk in explaining … business cycle fluctuations by using an estimated New Keynesian model featuring policy risk as well as uncertainty about …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013078531
Common integrated assessment models produce the counterintuitive result that higher risk aversion does not lead to …. The simulations show that aversion to this tipping point risk has little effect. For climate sensitivity of realistic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315580
-probability extreme events on environmental policy in a continuous-time real options model with “tail risk”. In a nutshell, our results … indicate the importance of tail risk and call for foresighted pre-emptive climate policies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139799
Why are better educated and more risk-friendly persons more mobile across regions? To answer this question, we use … patterns. Our findings indicate that risk-loving and skilled people are more mobile over longer distances because they are more … distance-related migration costs cannot explain the lower distance sensitivity of educated and risk-loving individuals …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100274
This study explores people's risk attitudes after having suffered large real-world losses following a natural disaster … is consistent with prospect theory predictions of the adoption of a risk-seeking attitude after a loss …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013103582
We propose a new instrument to identify uncertainty shocks in a SVAR model with external instruments. The instrument is constructed by exploiting variations in the price of gold around events that capture periods of changes in uncertainty. The variations in the price of gold around the events...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012961957