Pesaran, M. Hashem; Schleicher, Christoph; Zaffaroni, Paolo - 2021
management. Evaluation of volatility models is then considered and a simple Value-at-Risk (VaR) diagnostic test is proposed for … use of model averaging techniques as a way of dealing with the risk of inadvertently using false models in portfolio …, dealing with the possibility of parameter uncertainty, are established. The model averaging idea and the VaR diagnostic tests …