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Did Austerity Cause Brexit?
Fetzer, Thiemo - 2018
Did austerity cause Brexit? This paper shows that the rise of popular support for the UK Independence Party (UKIP), as … to austerity since 2010. In addition to exploiting data from the population of all electoral contests in the UK since … have resulted in a Remain victory had it not been for a range of austerity-induced welfare reforms. Further, auxiliary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910997
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The Information Content of Capacity Utilisation Rates for Output Gap Estimates
Graff, Michael; Sturm, Jan-Egbert - 2021
From a theoretical perspective, the output gap is probably the most comprehensive and convincing concept to describe the cyclical position of an economy. Unfortunately, for practical purposes, the concept depends on the determination of potential output, which is an inherently unobservable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316121
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The Greek Crisis : Causes and Consequences
Garcia Pascual, Antonio I. - 2011
Greece has reached a point where, under any plausible macroeconomic scenario, public debt will continue growing faster than GDP. Fiscal consolidation alone cannot close the solvency gap. A substantial reduction in the stock of debt is needed. Even post-debt restructuring, there is no guarantee...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117780
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Loan Supply Shocks During the Financial Crisis : Evidence for the Euro Area
Hristov, Nikolay; Hülsewig, Oliver; Wollmershaeuser, Timo - 2021
This paper employs a panel vector autoregressive model for the member countries of the Euro Area to explore the role of banks during the slump of the real economy that followed the financial crisis. In particular, we seek to quantify the macroeconomic effects of adverse loan supply shocks, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316038
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The Globalisation of Inflation : The Growing Importance of Global Value Chains
Auer, Raphael - 2017
Greater international economic interconnectedness over recent decades has been changing inflation dynamics. This paper presents evidence that the expansion of global value chains (GVCs), ie cross-border trade in intermediate goods and services, is an important channel through which global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012958886
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Cross-Border Effects of Fiscal Consolidations : Estimates Based on Narrative Records
Hebous, Shafik; Zimmermann, Tom - 2021
We estimate cross-border spillover effects of fiscal consolidation episodes on output, bilateral trade flows, interest rate, and the exchange rate, employing the new IMF action-based fiscal consolidation data. Results indicate a negative effect of foreign fiscal consolidation policies on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315746
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Austerity
Dellas, Harris - 2015
We shed light on the function, properties and optimal size of austerity using the standard sovereign debt model … augmented to include incomplete information about credit risk. Austerity is defined as the shortfall of consumption from the … level desired by a country and supported by its repayment capacity. We find that austerity serves as a tool for securing a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013030311
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The Macroeconomic Policy Challenges of Balance Sheet Recession : Lessons from Japan for the European Crisis
Schnabl, Gunther - 2013
The paper compares the boom-and-bust cycles in Japan and Europe with respect to the reasons for excessive booms, the characteristics of the crises, and the (potential) effects of the crisis therapies. As in Japan the consequence of expansionary monetary and fiscal policies is the hysteresis of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081055
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Quality and the Great Trade Collapse
Chen, Natalie - 2015
We explore whether the global financial crisis has had heterogeneous effects on traded goods differentiated by quality. Combining a dataset of Argentinean firm-level destination-specific wine exports with quality ratings, we show that higher quality exports grew faster before the crisis, but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013010482
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Global Banking, Trade, and the International Transmission of the Great Recession
Born, Alexandra - 2018
large parts of the world. In this paper we explore the financial and the trade channel in a unified framework and quantify …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012920861