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intertemporal trade-off, not present under rational expectations: it is optimal to forego stabilizing the economy in the present in … actually has rational expectations is much smaller than if the central bank mistakenly assumes rational expectations when in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094668
macroeconomic variables and their corresponding expectations. In the empirical analysis, we exploit direct data on expectations from … surveys. To explain the joint evolution of realized variables and expectations, we adopt a DSGE-VAR approach, which allows us … failure of New Keynesian models under the rational expectations hypothesis to account for the dynamic interactions between …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012979607
quadratic approximation. Aggregation renders the belief distribution an aggregate state variable. Diverse expectations change …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024741
This paper employs a stylized New Keynesian DSGE model for a monetary union to analyze whether cyclical inflation differentials can be explained by cross-country differences concerning the characteristics of financial markets. Our results suggest that empirically plausible degrees of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136243
We estimate a nonlinear VAR model to study the real effects of monetary policy shocks in regimes characterized by high vs. low macroeconomic uncertainty. We find unexpected monetary policy moves to exert a substantially milder impact in presence of high uncertainty. We then exploit the set of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012926998
In a VAR model of the US, the response of the relative price of durables to a monetary contraction is either flat or mildly positive. It significantly falls only if narrowly defined as the ratio between new house and nondurables prices. These findings survive three identification strategies and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013023113
We consider optimal monetary policy in a model that integrates credit frictions in the standard New Keynesian model with sticky prices and wages as well as adjustment costs of capital. Different from traditional models with credit frictions such as Carlstrom and Fuerst (1998), the model is able...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012993022
In this paper we propose a novel way to model the labor market in the context of a New-Keynesian general equilibrium model, incorporating labor market frictions in the form of hiring and firing costs. We show that such a model is able to replicate many important stylized facts of the business...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316264
The Generalized Calvo and the Generalized Taylor model of price and wage-setting are, unlike the standard Calvo and Taylor counter-parts, exactly consistent with the distribution of durations observed in the data. Using price and wage micro-data from a major euro-area economy (France), we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094533
Do survey data on inflation expectations contain useful information for estimating macroeconomic models? I address this … when solved under the assumptions of Rational Expectations and learning. This information serves as an additional moment … inflation expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120910