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This paper analyses the effects of newspaper coverage of macro news on the spread between the yield on the 10-year German Bund and on sovereign bonds in eight countries belonging to the euro area (Belgium, France, Greece, Ireland, Italy, the Netherlands, Portugal and Spain) using daily data for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013045338
for their sovereign bond emissions. For this purpose we analyse financial market data from 288 tradable cantonal bonds in … significantly to lower cantonal bond spreads. Second, we study the impact of a credible no-bailout regime on the risk premia of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082962
We test the hypothesis that the government bond markets in the Eurozone are more fragile and more susceptible to self …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090949
Macro-finance theory implies that trend ination and the equilibrium real interest rate are fundamental determinants of … understanding the dynamics of Treasury yields and predicting excess bond returns. We introduce a new arbitrage-free model that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012853894
show that the determinants of bond market access in EMs vary with global cyclical conditions and across local and foreign … currency bond markets increasingly substituted for banks in channeling liquidity to EMs. In the case of foreign currency … to global factors appears to vary with the size of its foreign currency bond market rather than local fundamentals. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960099
structure can help predict interest rates and excess bond returns. We demonstrate that the statistical tests that have been used … slope of the yield curve are robust predictors of excess bond returns, and there is no robust and convincing evidence for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013012562
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) is in the process of re-inventing itself with bilateral and multilateral surveillance emerging as a key function. The paper analyses how IMF surveillance announcements may be influenced by political power that member countries exert at the IMF. First, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013069721
We study sovereign bond yields in OECD countries with a dynamic panel by checking for cross-section dependence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316172
variables has generated a debate on multiple equilibria in the sovereign bond market (see De Grauwe and Ji (2012)). We … between senior tranche lending – including Target2 balances – and recent developments in the sovereign bond market, both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090004
Greek government bond market in mid-2010 and use a unique new dataset to show, for the first time, what type of bonds the … ECB bought. We then explore the short-term effects of ECB purchases at the bond-level. The results show a large impact of … bought. This is consistent with theories of "local supply effects" in segmented or illiquid bond markets.‬ …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065438