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Modeling Fluctuations in the Global Demand for Commodities
Kilian, Lutz - 2018
It is widely understood that the real price of globally traded commodities is determined by the forces of demand and supply. One of the main determinants of the real price of commodities is shifts in the demand for commodities associated with unexpected fluctuations in global real economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012930077
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Global Cycles : Capital Flows, Commodities, and Sovereign Defaults, 1815-2015
Reinhart, Carmen - 2016
Capital flow and commodity cycles have long been connected with economic crises. Sparse historical data, however, has made it difficult to connect their timing. We date turning points in global capital flows and commodity prices across two centuries and provide estimates from alternative data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012997239
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The Great Divergence : A Network Approach
Lindner, Ines - 2016
knowledge throughout the world explains a period of increasing world inequality after the take-off of the forerunners of the … industrial revolution, followed by decreasing relative inequality. Knowledge diffusion through a Small World network explains the … individual countries in the course of world development …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013001168
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Regional Inequality, Convergence, and its Determinants - A View from Outer Space
Lessmann, Christian - 2015
This paper provides a new data set of regional income inequalities within countries based on satellite nighttime light data. We first empirically study the relationship between luminosity data and regional incomes for those countries where regional income data are available. We subsequently use...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013023191
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Cross-Country Income Differences and Technology Diffusion in a Competitive World
Irmen, Andreas - 2012
-degenerate world income distribution. In accordance with the empirical literature, I find that country characteristics such as the … policies such as subsidies to innovation investments explain a country's position in the eventual world income distribution …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012754962
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International Climate Agreements, Cost Reductions and Convergence of Partisan Politics
Laurency, Patrick; Schindler, Dirk - 2021
In recent years, differences between traditional and green parties have been leveled with respect to climate protection. We show that this partial convergence in party platforms can be explained by international climate agreements, effectively reducing greenhouse gas emissions. We set up a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315969
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IMF Surveillance and Financial Markets - A Political Economy Analysis
Fratzscher, Marcel - 2014
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) is in the process of re-inventing itself with bilateral and multilateral surveillance emerging as a key function. The paper analyses how IMF surveillance announcements may be influenced by political power that member countries exert at the IMF. First, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013069721
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Hybrid Historical Simulation VaR and ES : Performance in Developed and Emerging Markets
Zikovic, Sasa - 2009
We introduce a new hybrid approach to joint estimation of Value at Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) for high quantiles of return distributions. We investigate the relative performance of VaR and ES models using daily returns for sixteen stock market indices (eight from developed and eight...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155427
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International Portfolio Flows and Exchange Rate Volatility for Emerging Markets
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2015
This paper investigates the effects of equity and bond portfolio inflows on exchange rate volatility, using monthly bilateral data for the US vis-a-vis eight Asian developing and emerging countries (India, Indonesia, South Korea, Pakistan, Hong Kong, Thailand, the Philippines, and Taiwan) over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013009868
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Is the Relationship between Financial Development and Economic Growth Monotonic? Evidence from a Sample of Middle Income Countries
Samargandi, Nahla - 2014
We revisit the relationship between financial development and economic growth in a panel of 52 middle income countries over the 1980-2008 period, using pooled mean group estimator in a dynamic heterogeneous panel setting. We show that financial development does not have a linear positive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013054321