Showing 1 - 10 of 2,077
Recent theoretical work in the economics of climate change has suggested that climate policy is highly sensitive to ‘fat-tailed’ risks of catastrophic outcomes (Weitzman, 2009b). Such risks are suggested to be an inevitable consequence of scientific uncertainty about the effects of increased...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315705
The economics of climate change involves a vast array of uncertainties, complicating both the analysis and development of climate policy. This study presents the results of the first comprehensive study of uncertainty in climate change using multiple integrated assessment models. The study looks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013013082
-probability extreme events on environmental policy in a continuous-time real options model with “tail risk”. In a nutshell, our results … indicate the importance of tail risk and call for foresighted pre-emptive climate policies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139799
the threshold the opposite is true. Moreover, in a world without full learning (i.e. partial and no learning), risk … role of learning and risk aversion. It bridges two strands of literature: one focused on the role learning for the success … of IEA formation when countries are risk neutral and another that explores the implications of uncertainty and risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013059058
Common integrated assessment models produce the counterintuitive result that higher risk aversion does not lead to …. The simulations show that aversion to this tipping point risk has little effect. For climate sensitivity of realistic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315580
threshold is uncertain. Theory suggests that behavior should differ dramatically either side of a dividing line for threshold …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315630
International climate negotiations take place in a setting where uncertainties regarding the impacts of climate change are very large. In this paper, we examine the influence of increasing the probability and impact of large climate change damages, also known as the ‘fat tail’, on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315816
If the threshold that triggers climate catastrophe is known with certainty, and the benefits of avoiding catastrophe are high relative to the costs, treaties can easily coordinate countries’ behavior so as to avoid the threshold. Where the net benefits of avoiding catastrophe are lower,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315826
Temperature responses and optimal climate policies depend crucially on the choice of a particular climate model. To illustrate, the temperature responses to given emission reduction paths implied by the climate modules of the well-known integrated assessments models DICE, FUND and PAGE are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012947620
This paper explores the introduction of collective risk-sharing elements in defined contribution pension contracts. We … consider status-contingent, age-contingent and asset contingent risk-sharing arrangements. All arrangements raise aggregate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118167