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speculative bubbles in Germany over the sample period 1987Q3-2012Q4. Overall, we find that actual house prices are not … significantly disconnected from underlying economic fundamentals. Thus, there is no evidence of speculative house price bubbles in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013079871
We document that the recent house price experiences within an individual's social network affect her perceptions of the attractiveness of property investments, and through this channel have large effects on her housing market activity. Our data combine anonymized social network information from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012988967
learning, and even idiosyncratic variation. Our paper cautions that the slider task will be underpowered for uncovering a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013021431
variance in expectations. Second, we exploit a natural experiment to identify the causal effect of new information on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012929261
What risks do asset price bubbles pose for the economy? This paper studies bubbles in housing and equity markets in 17 … countries over the past 140 years. History shows that not all bubbles are alike. Some have enormous costs for the economy, while … others blow over. We demonstrate that what makes some bubbles more dangerous than others is credit. When fueled by credit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013014986
Bubbles are omnipresent in lab experiments with asset markets. Most of these experiments were conducted in environments … experiment to measure changes of human trading behavior if these humans expect algorithmic traders. To disentangle the direct … smaller bubbles if human traders expect algorithmic traders to be present …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013009851
This paper demonstrates the way in which stock-flow matching with endogenous seller entry generates hot and cold spells in house sales. Potential sellers know the number of bidders remaining from the last house sale. If two or more bidders remain, the seller obtains the gains to trade through...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013009887
The target zone model of Krugman (1991) has failed empirically. In this paper, we develop a model of the exchange rate with heterogeneous agents in a free floating and a target zone regime. We show that this simple model mimics the empirical puzzles of exchange rates: excessive volatility, fat...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316875
Home equity is the primary self-funding mechanism for long term services and supports (LTSS). Using data from the relevant waves of the Health and Retirement Study (1996-2010), we exploit the exogenous variation in the form of wealth shocks resulting from the value of housing assets, to examine...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012926994
We analytically characterize optimal monetary policy for an augmented New Keynesian model with a housing sector. In a setting where the private sector has rational expectations about future housing prices and inflation, optimal monetary policy can be characterized without making reference to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012914954