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In this paper we present a new database that allows deep industry-level growth accounting from 1991-2003. The database allows for the first complete analysis of the German industry performance drivers based on the contributions of 12 asset types in 52 different industries. The industry sources...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012777641
accounting database that provides detailed industry-level investment information. While much attention has focused on the … reduction in German labor hours, our data show that Information, Communication and Technology (ICT) investment in Germany was … slowdown, but did not reverse it. After 2000, we find that a recovery in Non-ICT investment was offset by a widespread collapse …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012777731
We estimate the effect of electorally induced policy uncertainty on investment in the manufacturing sector. Because …, and because the policies relevant to business investment vary systematically by party, uncertainty over the partisan … affiliation of the future governor is a source of political risk to firms considering business investment. More importantly, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012993110
The ifo Investment Survey asks firms in the German manufacturing sector about the importance of sales, technological … factors, finance, return expectations, and macroeconomic policy for their investment activity in a given year. We show that … these subjective investment determinants 1) capture economically what their labels suggest, and 2) have strong explanatory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315790
This paper provides novel evidence on exchange rate expectations of both chartists and fundamentalists separately. These groups indeed form expectations differently. Chartists change their expectations more often; however, all professionals' expectations vary considerably as they generally...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013083266
The European sovereign debt crisis revived the discussion concerning the pros and cons of exchange rate adjustment in the face of asymmetric shocks. Exit from the euro area is to regain rapidly international competitiveness. Exchange rate stability with structural reforms could be beneficial for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013089423
We explore the role of interest rate policy in the exchange rate determination process. Specifically, we derive exchange rate equations from interest rate rules that are theoretically optimal under a few alternative settings. The exchange rate equation depends on its underlying interest rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092385
This paper provides an explanation for the observed decline of the exchange rate pass-through into import prices by modeling the effects of financial market integration on the optimal choice of the pricing currency in the context of rigid nominal goods prices. Contrary to previous literature, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012933708
This paper merges two branches of the literature. On one hand we study a heterogeneous agents framework to model exchange rates and stock prices. On the other hand we model the relationship between these two series through a DSGE model. Investors choose one of two rules to form their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013080731
This paper proposes an explanation of the shifts in the volatility of exchange rate returns that relies on standard present value exchange rate models. Agents are uncertain about the true data generating model and deal with the model uncertainty by making inference on the models and their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316252