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Advanced statistical techniques are used to analyze Hong Kong output dynamics. Hong Kong, Japan and the U.S. are found …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013321022
inherent in growth regressions. IBMA is essential to our estimation because the simultaneous consideration of model uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012777687
Concave hiring rules imply that firms respond more to bad shocks than to good shocks. They provide a unified explanation for several seemingly unrelated facts about employment growth in macro and micro data. In particular, they generate countercyclical movement in both aggregate conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956881
that a shock to the net flow from unemployment to employment drive the unemployment rate and the participation rate in … opposite directions while a shock to the net flow from not in the labour force to unemployment drives the rates in the same …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051614
financial institutions in the transmission of credit and technology shocks to the real economy. A positive credit shock, defined … between loan and deposit rates. The effects of the credit shock tend to be highly persistent even without price rigidities and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119521
American (LA) countries and the four largest economies in the world (namely the US, the Euro area, Japan and China) over the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013089557
type of shock. Expansionary securitization shocks lead to a permanent rise in real GDP and a fall in inflation. Bank …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013055428
Using a two-sector estimated DSGE model with a financial channel we show the sector where TFP news arrives matters for its propagation and quantitative importance. Anticipated increases in TFP expected to arrive in the consumption sector are expansionary while those in the investment sector are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315761
and the real-time prediction of professional forecasters. We find that optimism shocks – in line with theory - generate a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938129
This paper examines the effects that windfalls from international commodity price booms have on net foreign assets in a panel of 145 countries during the period 1970-2007. The main finding is that windfalls from international commodity price booms lead to a significant increase in net foreign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092044