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The Relative Volatility of Commodity Prices : A Reappraisal
Arezki, Rabah - 2013
This paper studies the volatility of commodity prices on the basis of a large dataset of monthly prices observed in … evidence does not actually attempt to measure the volatility of prices of individual goods or commodities. The literature tends … to focus on trends in the evolution and volatility of ratios of price indexes composed of multiple commodities and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091831
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Commodity Price Volatility, Democracy and Economic Growth
Arezki, Rabah - 2013
We use a new dataset on non-resource GDP to examine the impact of commodity price volatility on economic growth in a … panel of up to 158 countries during the period 1970-2007. Our main finding is that commodity price volatility leads to a … result, we show that increased commodity price volatility leads to a statistically significant and quantitatively large …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092229
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Coerced Labor in the Cotton Sector : How Global Commodity Prices (Don't) Transmit to the Poor
Danzer, Alexander M. - 2016
This paper investigates the economic fortunes of coerced vs. free workers in a global supply chain. To identify the differential treatment of otherwise similar workers we resort to a unique exogenous labor demand shock that affects wages in voluntary and involuntary labor relations differently....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012987397
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Dimensions of Macroeconomic Uncertainty : A Common Factor Analysis
Henzel, Steffen - 2014
Uncertainty about the future course of the economy is a possible driver of aggregate fluctuations. To identify the different dimensions of uncertainty in the macroeconomy we construct a large dataset covering all types of economic uncertainty. We then identify two fundamental factors which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013045927
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International Commodity Prices and Civil War Outbreak : New Evidence for Sub-Saharan Africa and Beyond
Ciccone, Antonio - 2018
A new dataset by Bazzi and Blattman (2014) allows examining the effects of international commodity prices on the risk of civil war outbreak with more comprehensive data. I find that international commodity price downturns sparked civil wars in Sub-Saharan Africa. Another finding with the new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012924357
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Modeling Fluctuations in the Global Demand for Commodities
Kilian, Lutz - 2018
It is widely understood that the real price of globally traded commodities is determined by the forces of demand and supply. One of the main determinants of the real price of commodities is shifts in the demand for commodities associated with unexpected fluctuations in global real economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012930077
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Global Cycles : Capital Flows, Commodities, and Sovereign Defaults, 1815-2015
Reinhart, Carmen - 2016
Capital flow and commodity cycles have long been connected with economic crises. Sparse historical data, however, has made it difficult to connect their timing. We date turning points in global capital flows and commodity prices across two centuries and provide estimates from alternative data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012997239
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Price Effects on Compound Commodities
Minagawa, Junichi - 2016
We explore effects of simultaneous price changes for the demand of a group of goods, which we refer to as a compound commodity. Specifically, we consider unit and proportional cost components (e. g., taxes, transportation costs, etc.) imposed on the compound commodity. We find that there is a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012981296
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Subjective Well-Being, Income, Economic Development and Growth
Sacks, Daniel W. - 2011
We explore the relationships between subjective well-being and income, as seen across individuals within a given … higher in countries with greater GDP per capita. The magnitude of the satisfaction-income gradient is roughly the same … whether we compare individuals or countries, suggesting that absolute income plays an important role in influencing well …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132796
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General Education, Vocational Education, and Labor-Market Outcomes Over the Life-Cycle
Hanushek, Eric A. - 2011
Policy debates about the balance of vocational and general education programs focus on the school-to-work transition. But with rapid technological change, gains in youth employment from vocational education may be offset by less adaptability and thus diminished employment later in life. To test...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119232