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unmarried women, thereby delaying female marriage, lowering fertility, and unleashing economic growth. We show that this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012916356
We combine original geo-referenced data on mining extraction of 15 minerals with information on conflict events at spatial resolution of 0.5o x 0.5o for all Africa over 1997-2010. Exploiting exogenous variations in world prices, we find a positive impact of mining on conflict at the local level....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013019854
This paper proposes a simple framework to better understand an opposition group's choice between peace, terrorism, and open civil conflict against the government. Our model implies that terrorism emerges if constraints on the ruling executive group are intermediate and rents are sizeable,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012930080
I critically review recent studies that estimate those costs of violence and conflict that can emerge among organized political groupings, from states, religious and ethnic organizations to guerillas and paramilitaries. The review includes studies that estimate direct and indirect costs due to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316344
generations model, using stochastic mortality projections as inputs. In a traditional pension scheme with no automatic longevity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013001164
annuities, or for a given level of annuitization, both increasing longevity and decreasing fertility should reduce the inherited … distributed if aging is driven by a drop in fertility. In comparison, the effect of increasing longevity on their distribution in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012985794
policy shocks. We find that a higher degree of KUJ lowers economic growth, while, in contrast, a decrease in the fertility … and mortality rates increase it. In the second part of the paper we extend the model by incorporating a Pay …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316442
This paper examines the effects of demographic change on public finances in a federal system. We develop a simple methodical procedure to measure the effect of demographic changes on public revenues and expenditures. We apply our method to the local, state and federal government sector as well...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316520
Demographic change will be one of the most challenging issues for industrialized economies in the decades to come. In this paper, we focus on the impact of demographic change on labour markets. By setting up a stylized model of a regional labour market, we are able to analyze the interaction of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316521
Slower growth of the labour force and an increase in old-age dependency will reduce the growth of aggregate output and output per capita in many developed countries. However, a major question is whether there is any systematic link between demographics and the productivity of those who will...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316605