Showing 1 - 10 of 2,347
This paper develops a dynamic two-country neoclassical stochastic growth model with incomplete markets. Short-term credit flows can be excessive and reverse suddenly. The equilibrium outcome is constrained inefficient due to pecuniary externalities. First, an undercapitalized country borrows too...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013028913
This paper investigates the effects of equity and bond portfolio inflows on exchange rate volatility, using monthly … probability Markov-switching model. We find that net equity (bond) inflows drive the exchange rate to a high (low) volatility … state. In particular, net bond inflows increase the probability of remaining in the low volatility state in the case of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013009868
We explore the role of interest rate policy in the exchange rate determination process. Specifically, we derive exchange rate equations from interest rate rules that are theoretically optimal under a few alternative settings. The exchange rate equation depends on its underlying interest rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092385
In this paper we re-consider the effects of monetary policy shocks on exchange rates and forward premia. In the recent … that in particular (i) allows for simultaneous multi-country adjustments in response to monetary policy shocks, and (ii …) takes advantage of the identifying restrictions for monetary policy shocks implied by empirically supported long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094323
This paper proposes an explanation of the shifts in the volatility of exchange rate returns that relies on standard … may lead agents to focus excessively on a subset of fundamental variables. As a result, exchange rate volatility is mainly … determined by the dynamics of this subset of fundamentals. As agents switch between models the nominal exchange rate volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316252
emerging market economies. Expansionary monetary policies in response to the burst of bubbles are argued to have contributed to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316825
This paper presents a theoretical framework analyzing the signalling channel of exchange rate interventions as an informational trigger. We develop an implicit target zone framework with learning in order to model the signalling channel. The theoretical premise of the model is that interventions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092279
We use realized volatility to study the influence of central bank interventions on the yen/dollar exchange rate …. Realized volatility is a technical innovation that allows specifying a system of equations for returns, realized volatility … Japanese monetary authorities did not have the desired effect with respect to the exchange rate level and we measure an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317518
We study the renminbi (RMB) covered interest differential – an indicator of the effectiveness of capital controls. It is found that the differential is not shrinking over time and, in fact, appears larger after the global financial crisis than before. That is, capital controls in China are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013076735
We empirically analyze how bank lending reacts to monetary policy in the presence of global financial flows. Employing … international funding and thus insulate their costs of funding from domestic monetary policy. We isolate the effect of global … factors from domestic monetary policy by focusing on the deviation of exchange rates from the prediction of (uncovered and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012921278