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Dark Costs, Missing Data : Shedding Some Light on Services Trade
Anderson, James E. - 2015
A structural gravity model is used to estimate barriers to services trade across many sectors, countries and time. Since the disaggregated output data needed to flexibly infer border barriers are often missing for services, we derive a novel methodology for projecting output data. The empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013011441
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Forecasting Random Walks Under Drift Instability
Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2011
This paper considers forecast averaging when the same model is used but estimation is carried out over different … estimation windows. It develops theoretical results for random walks when their drift and/or volatility are subject to one or … more structural breaks. It is shown that compared to using forecasts based on a single estimation window, averaging over …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012756639
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Demographic Structure and Macroeconomic Trends
Aksoy, Yunus; Basso, Henrique S.; Smith, Ron; Grasl, Tobias - 2021
The effect of changes in demographic structure on medium-run trends of key macroeconomic variables is estimated using a Panel VAR of 21 OECD economies. The panel data variability assists the identification of direct effects of demographics, while the dynamic structure uncovers long-term effects....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315503
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Dutch Disease and the Mitigation Effect of Migration : Evidence from Canadian Provinces
Beine, Michel A. R.; Coulombe, Serge; Vermeulen, Wessel - 2021
This paper looks at whether immigration can mitigate the Dutch disease effects associated with booms in natural resource sectors. We first derive predicted changes in the size of the non-tradable sector from a small general-equilibrium model à la Obstfeld-Rogoff, supplemented by a resource...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315912
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Service Offshoring and White-Collar Employment
Crinò, Rosario - 2021
I study the effects of service offshoring on white-collar employment, using highly disaggregated occupational data for the U.S.. I present a structural model of the firm's behavior that allows tractable derivation of labor demand elasticities for highly detailed occupations. I estimate the model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316986
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Managerial versus Production Wages : Offshoring, Country Size and Endowments
Benz, Sebastian; Kohler, Wilhelm - 2021
In this paper, we explore the role of trade in differentiated final goods as well offshoring of tasks for inequality both within and between countries. We emphasize the distinction between managerial and production labor. Production labor is assumed to be a variable input composed of tradable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316113
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Trade and Geography : Paul Krugman and the 2008 Nobel Prize in Economics
Brakman, Steven - 2009
The 2008 Nobel prize for economics was awarded to Paul Krugman for three papers - Krugman (1979, 1980, 1991). In this paper we illustrate that, indeed, these three papers are closely connected. We present - a summary of - the papers using a unified framework. Central in the discussion is the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012765195
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Diversification, Risk Aversion and Expectation in a Holdout Scenario
Eggert, Wolfgang - 2015
We argue a holdout is not a destructive investor behaviour but a rational investment decision. This investment decision is characterised by the mean-variance approach. We investigate intercreditor conflict by diverse portfolio structure. We demonstrate that at some point during the Greek (2012)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013013489
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Sources of Real Exchange Rate Volatility and International Financial Integration : A Dynamic GMM Panel Approach
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2011
The aim of this paper is to provide some new empirical evidence on the determinants of volatility of real exchange rates in emerging countries, focusing on the role of international financial integration in particular. A reduced-form model is estimated using the GMM method for dynamic panels...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117985
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Carry Funding and Safe Haven Currencies : A Threshold Regression Approach
Hossfeld, Oliver - 2015
the estimation results, two currencies, the Swiss franc and (to a lesser extent) the US dollar qualify as safe haven …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013030487