Showing 1 - 10 of 1,106
This paper unveils a new resource for macroeconomic research: a long-run dataset covering disaggregated bank credit for 17 advanced economies since 1870. The new data show that the share of mortgages on banks' balance sheets doubled in the course of the 20th century, driven by a sharp rise of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013032225
is the main determinant of the volatility of the policy spread, but also that private bank credit risk has become more …In this paper we model the volatility of the spread between the overnight interest rate and the central bank policy … 2007. During the crisis, the policy spread exhibited signs of volatility, owing to the breakdown in interbank market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094544
an application to the estimation of panel data models with an infinite number of weak factors and a finite number of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158328
The paper introduces the appropriate within estimators for the most frequently used three-dimensional fixed effects panel data models. It analyzes the behavior of these estimators in the cases of no self-flow data, unbalanced data, and dynamic autoregressive models. The main results are then...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024591
evidence shows asymmetry is also a prominent feature of stock market returns volatility. The reaction of risk if stock returns … describe the most typical features of capital markets like volatility clustering, excess kurtosis and fat tails. As empirical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316234
builds distribution risk into a real business cycle model, hypotheses on the determinants of the relative volatility of …Weakening bargaining power of unions and the increasing integration of the world economy may affect the volatility of … capital and labor incomes. This paper documents and explains changes in income volatility. Using a theoretical framework which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316443
This paper introduces a new measure of dependence or jointness among explanatory variables. Jointness is based on the joint posterior distribution of variables over the model space, thereby taking model uncertainty into account. By looking beyond marginal measures of variable importance,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317072
This paper uses the European Commission's Consumer Survey to assess whether inflation expectations have converged and whether inflation uncertainty has diminished following the introduction of the Euro in Europe. Consumers' responses to the survey suggest that inflation expectations depend more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012754359
increase uncertainty through a higher volatility of employment. We use regional data from Germany to test whether openness for … trade has an impact on volatility. We find a downward trend in the unconditional volatility of employment, which has been … interrupted by the re-unification period. Patterns are similar to those for output volatility. The conditional volatility of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012772003
Uncertainty about the future course of the economy is a possible driver of aggregate fluctuations. To identify the different dimensions of uncertainty in the macroeconomy we construct a large dataset covering all types of economic uncertainty. We then identify two fundamental factors which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013045927