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Exchange Rate Uncertainty and International Portfolio Flows
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2013
and bond flows, as well as the dynamic linkages between exchange rate volatility and the variability of these two types of … activities to maximise returns and minimize exposure to uncertainty. Furthermore, since exchange rate volatility and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081704
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On the Inclusion of the Chinese Renminbi in the SDR Basket
Bénassy-Quéré, Agnès - 2013
volatility of the basket. Although, in the past, RMB inclusion would have had negligible impact due to its limited weight, a much …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013089684
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International Portfolio Flows and Exchange Rate Volatility for Emerging Markets
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2015
This paper investigates the effects of equity and bond portfolio inflows on exchange rate volatility, using monthly … probability Markov-switching model. We find that net equity (bond) inflows drive the exchange rate to a high (low) volatility … state. In particular, net bond inflows increase the probability of remaining in the low volatility state in the case of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013009868
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Foreign Currency Denominated Assets and International Shock Absorption in Switzerland and Japan
Schnabl, Gunther - 2015
Currencies of countries with persistent current account surpluses and high foreign currency denominated assets such as the Swiss franc and Japanese yen are under a persistent appreciation pressure, what restricts the degree of freedom in the choice of exchange rate regime. Official announcements...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013009766
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Pegxit Pressure : Evidence from the Classical Gold Standard
Mitchener, Kris James - 2017
We develop a simple model that highlights the costs and benefits of fixed exchange rates as they relate to trade, and show that negative export-price shocks reduce fiscal revenue and increase the likelihood of an expected currency devaluation. Using a new high-frequency data set on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012965714
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Sovereign Defaults : The Price of Haircuts
Cruces, Juan J. - 2013
A main puzzle in the sovereign debt literature is that defaults have only minor effects on subsequent borrowing costs and access to credit. This paper comes to a different conclusion. We construct the first complete database of investor losses ('haircuts') in all restructurings with foreign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092297
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Resolving Sovereign Debt Crises : The Role of Political Risk
Trebesch, Christoph - 2018
Sovereign defaults are bad news for investors and debtor countries, in particular if a default becomes messy and protracted. Why are some debt crises resolved quickly, in a matter of months, while others take many years to settle? This paper studies the duration of sovereign debt crises based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910995
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Does Membership in International Organizations Increase Governments' Credibility? Testing the Effects of Delegating Powers
Dreher, Axel - 2008
This paper analyzes whether nation-state governments can increase their credibility by becoming members of international organizations. Credibility is an important asset because it determines the real interest rate and is expected to have an important impact on investment and growth. It is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012772030
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The Impact of Monetary and Commodity Fundamentals, Macro News and Central Bank Communication on the Exchange Rate : Evidence from South Africa
Égert, Balázs - 2013
This paper studies drivers of high-frequency (daily) dynamics of the South African rand vis-à-vis the dollar from January 2001 to July 2007. We find strong nonlinear effects of commodity prices, perceived country and emerging market risk premium and changes in the dollar-euro exchange rate on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095999
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Long Memory and Fractional Integration in High Frequency Data on the US Dollar/British Pound Spot Exchange Rate
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2013
This paper analyses the long-memory properties of a high-frequency financial time series dataset. It focuses on temporal aggregation and other features of the data, and how they might affect the degree of dependence of the series. Fractional integration or I(d) models are estimated with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082343