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In U.S. data 1981–2012, unsecured firm credit moves procyclically and tends to lead GDP, while secured firm credit is … acyclical; similarly, shocks to unsecured firm credit explain a far larger fraction of output fluctuations than shocks to … secured credit. In this paper we develop a tractable dynamic general equilibrium model in which unsecured firm credit arises …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024359
others blow over. We demonstrate that what makes some bubbles more dangerous than others is credit. When fueled by credit … slower recoveries. Credit-financed housing price bubbles have emerged as a particularly dangerous phenomenon …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013014986
conditions, credit default and bank capitalization for the transmission of macroeconomic shocks. We fit the model to euro area … credit spreads to monetary policy shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012978077
Shocks to bank lending, risk-taking and securitization activities that are orthogonal to real economy and monetary policy innovations account for more than 30 percent of U.S. output variation. The dynamic effects, however, depend on the type of shock. Expansionary securitization shocks lead to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013055428
mechanism of the Eurosystem's credit support policies since the start of the crisis. First, we show that these policies have … indeed been succesful in stimulating the credit flow of banks to the private sector. Second, we find support for the “bank … responded more to the credit support policies of the Eurosystem as a result of more favourable size, retail and liquidity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012955416
-run liquidity effect after an interest rate innovation, that is additional bank loans are generated by a greater credit multiplier …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092365
We estimate the effects of exogenous innovations to the balance sheet of the ECB since the start of the financial crisis within a structural VAR framework. An expansionary balance sheet shock stimulates bank lending, stabilizes financial markets, and has a positive impact on economic activity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013048831
This paper employs a panel vector autoregressive model for the member countries of the Euro Area to explore the role of banks during the slump of the real economy that followed the financial crisis. In particular, we seek to quantify the macroeconomic effects of adverse loan supply shocks, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316038
This paper examines the effects of Islamic banking on the causal linkages between credit and GDP by comparing two sets … analysis provides evidence of long-run causality running from credit to GDP in countries with Islamic banks only. This is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012998263
beyond other better-known early warning indicators, such as credit booms. This predictive power, however, only holds in … the short-term popularity benefits of weak credit booms rather than implementing politically costly corrective policies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013047326