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Jorda, Oscar - 2015

What risks do asset price bubbles pose for the economy? This paper studies bubbles in housing and equity markets in 17 … countries over the past 140 years. History shows that not all bubbles are alike. Some have enormous costs for the economy, while … others blow over. We demonstrate that what makes some bubbles more dangerous than others is credit. When fueled by credit …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013014986

Political Booms, Financial Crises

Herrera, Helios - 2014

We show that political booms, measured by the rise in governments' popularity, predict financial crises above and beyond other better-known early warning indicators, such as credit booms. This predictive power, however, only holds in emerging economies. We show that governments in emerging...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013047326

Double-Question Survey Measures for the Analysis of Financial Bubbles and Crashes

Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2017

This paper proposes a new double-question survey method that elicits information about how individuals subjective belief valuations are compared and related to their price expectations. An individual respondent is presented with two sets of questions, one that asks about his/her belief regarding...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963776

Market Depth, Leverage, and Speculative Bubbles

Enders, Zeno - 2019

We develop a model of rational bubbles based on leverage and the assumption of an imprecisely known maximum market size … lend to traders with limited liability in a bubble is endogenous. Bubbles reduce welfare of future investors. We provide … general conditions for the possibility of bubbles depending on uncertainty about market size, traders' degree of leverage and …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899999

The Great Mortgaging : Housing Finance, Crises, and Business Cycles

Jordà, Òscar - 2015

This paper unveils a new resource for macroeconomic research: a long-run dataset covering disaggregated bank credit for 17 advanced economies since 1870. The new data show that the share of mortgages on banks' balance sheets doubled in the course of the 20th century, driven by a sharp rise of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013032225

Banking Crisis Resolution Policy - Lessons from Recent Experience - Which Elements are Needed for Robust and Efficient Crisis Resolution?

Mayes, David G. - 2013

The current financial crisis has sparked intense debate about how weak banks should be resolved. Despite international efforts to coordinate and converge on such policies, national policy advice and resolution practices differ. The resolution methods adopted in the Nordic banking crises in the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095558

Monetary Policy, Vagabonding Liquidity and Bursting Bubbles in New and Emerging Markets - An Overinvestment View

Schnabl, Gunther; Hoffmann, Andreas - 2021

emerging market economies. Expansionary monetary policies in response to the burst of bubbles are argued to have contributed to … vagabonding bubbles around the globe …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316825

Wealth Preference and Rational Bubbles

Michau, Jean-Baptiste - 2018

conditions, there can be rational bubbles. Hence, we provide a microfoundation for bubbles that relies on a frictionless infinite …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012912377

Taking the Lord's Name in Vain : The Impact of Connected Directors on 19th Century British Banks

Grossman, Richard S. - 2015

This paper utilizes data on the presence of prominent individuals - that is, those with political (e.g., Members of Parliament) and aristocratic titles (e.g., lords) - on the boards of directors of English and Welsh banks from 1879-1909 to investigate whether the appointment of well-connected...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013030337

The Impact of Creditor Protection on Stock Prices in the Presence of Liquidity Crises : Theory and Cross-Country Evidence

Hale, Galina - 2013

We develop a model predicting two channels through which creditor protection enhances the performance of stock prices: the probability of a liquidity crisis leading to a binding investment-finance constraint falls with a strong protection of creditors; the stock prices under the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091211

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