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Global Banking, Trade, and the International Transmission of the Great Recession
Born, Alexandra - 2018
large parts of the world. In this paper we explore the financial and the trade channel in a unified framework and quantify …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012920861
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The Output Costs of Hard and Soft Sovereign Default
Trebesch, Christoph - 2016
How costly are sovereign debt crises? In this paper we study output losses during sovereign default and debt renegotiation episodes since 1980. In contrast to previous work, we account for the severity of default and not only for its occurrence. Specifically, we distinguish between “hard”...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012978462
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Business Cycles, International Trade and Capital Flows : Evidence from Latin America
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2013
American (LA) countries and the four largest economies in the world (namely the US, the Euro area, Japan and China) over the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013089557
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The G7 Business Cycle in a Globalized World
Carstensen, Kai - 2016
, and inflation volatility, and in global macroeconomic indicators like the oil price, world stock market returns, and … exchange rate volatility. The results indicate that in a globalized world spillovers from emerging markets and industrial … countries other than the G7 play a relevant role for major aspects of the G7 and world business cycle …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012986109
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Agricultural Price Shocks and Business Cycles - A Global Warning for Advanced Economies
De Winne, Jasmien - 2018
unfavorable harvest shocks in other regions of the world significantly curtail domestic economic activity. The effects are much …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012915574
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Modeling Fluctuations in the Global Demand for Commodities
Kilian, Lutz - 2018
It is widely understood that the real price of globally traded commodities is determined by the forces of demand and supply. One of the main determinants of the real price of commodities is shifts in the demand for commodities associated with unexpected fluctuations in global real economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012930077
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Trade Intensity and Output Synchronisation : On the Endogeneity Properties of EMU
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2013
Using annual bilateral data over the period 1988-2011 for a panel of 24 industrialised and emerging economies, we analyse in a time-varying framework the determinants of output synchronisation in EMU (European Monetary Union) distinguishing between core and peripheral member states. The results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013083873
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Strategic Currency Choice in International Trade
Sokolova, Maria - 2015
” theory, which indicates that increases in firms' export size change the buyer's and seller's preferences over currency …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013011644
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Construction of Composite Business Cycle Indicators in a Sparse Data Environment
Abberger, Klaus - 2011
Business cycle indicators are important instruments for monitoring economic development. When employing indicators one usually relies on a sound statistical database. This paper deals with indicator development in a sparse data situation. Indicator building is merged with temporal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120906
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Fiscal Adjustments and Business Cycle Synchronization
Agnello, Luca - 2013
Using a panel of annual data for 20 countries we show that synchronized fiscal consolidation (stimulus) programmes in different countries make their business cycles more closely linked, especially in the case of fiscal adjustments lasting 2 or 3 years. We also find: (i) little evidence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013071388