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Unleashing Animal Spirits - Self-Control and Overpricing in Experimental Asset Markets

Kocher, Martin G. - 2016

One possible determinant of overpricing on asset markets is a lack of self-control abilities of traders. Self-control is the individual capacity to override or inhibit undesired behavioral tendencies such as impulses and to refrain from acting on them. We implement the first experiment that is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012994360

Dynamic Trading and Asset Prices : Keynes vs. Hayek

Cespa, Giovanni - 2011

We investigate the dynamics of prices, information and expectations in a competitive, noisy, dynamic asset pricing equilibrium model with long-term investors. We argue that the fact that prices can score worse or better than consensus opinion in predicting the fundamentals is a product of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013134234

Stock Market Returns, Corporate Governance and Capital Market Equilibrium

Parigi, Bruno Maria; Pelizzon, Loriana; von Thadden, … - 2021

This paper proposes a theoretical model that incorporates corporate governance into the basic CAPM, where corporate governance affects the disutility of managerial effort and the possibility of managers to divert company resources. It shows that corporate governance affects firms’ stock...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315674

Was Bernanke Right? Targeting Asset Prices May Not Be a Good Idea After All

Assenza, Tiziana - 2013

Should the central bank prevent 'excessive' asset price dynamics or should it wait until the boom spontaneously turns into a crash and intervene only afterwards? The debate over this issue goes back at least to the exchange between Bernanke-Gertler (BG) and Cecchetti but has not settled yet. In...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092104

Double-Question Survey Measures for the Analysis of Financial Bubbles and Crashes

Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2017

This paper proposes a new double-question survey method that elicits information about how individuals subjective belief valuations are compared and related to their price expectations. An individual respondent is presented with two sets of questions, one that asks about his/her belief regarding...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963776

Leaning Against Housing Prices as Robustly Optimal Monetary Policy

Adam, Klaus - 2018

We analytically characterize optimal monetary policy for an augmented New Keynesian model with a housing sector. In a setting where the private sector has rational expectations about future housing prices and inflation, optimal monetary policy can be characterized without making reference to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012914954

Leveraged Bubbles

Jorda, Oscar - 2015

What risks do asset price bubbles pose for the economy? This paper studies bubbles in housing and equity markets in 17 … countries over the past 140 years. History shows that not all bubbles are alike. Some have enormous costs for the economy, while … others blow over. We demonstrate that what makes some bubbles more dangerous than others is credit. When fueled by credit …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013014986

Market Depth, Leverage, and Speculative Bubbles

Enders, Zeno - 2019

We develop a model of rational bubbles based on leverage and the assumption of an imprecisely known maximum market size … lend to traders with limited liability in a bubble is endogenous. Bubbles reduce welfare of future investors. We provide … general conditions for the possibility of bubbles depending on uncertainty about market size, traders' degree of leverage and …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899999

Political Booms, Financial Crises

Herrera, Helios - 2014

We show that political booms, measured by the rise in governments' popularity, predict financial crises above and beyond other better-known early warning indicators, such as credit booms. This predictive power, however, only holds in emerging economies. We show that governments in emerging...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013047326

A General Approach to Recovering Market Expectations from Futures Prices with an Application to Crude Oil

Baumeister, Christiane - 2016

Futures markets are a potentially valuable source of information about price expectations. Exploiting this information has proved difficult in practice, because time-varying risk premia often render the futures price a poor measure of the market expectation of the price of the underlying asset....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012996209

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