Showing 1 - 10 of 1,828
This paper is concerned with empirical and theoretical basis of the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH). The paper begins with an overview of the statistical properties of asset returns at different frequencies (daily, weekly and monthly), and considers the evidence on return predictability, risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013141185
benefits only if they aggregate their private information. Some members of the society, however, are harmed by socially … desirable policies and aim at manipulating information aggregation by misrepresenting their private information. We show that … information can be aggregated and a socially desirable policy can be implemented under a new class of democratic mechanisms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012994342
This paper performs a welfare analysis of economies with private information when public information is endogenously … in information). The reason is that the market in general does not internalize the informational externality when public … statistics (e.g., prices) convey information. Under strategic substitutability, equilibrium prices will tend to convey too little …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013008600
The term structure of equity returns is downward-sloping: stocks with high cash flow duration earn 1.10% per month lower returns than short-duration stocks in the cross section. I create a measure of cash flow duration at the firm level using balance sheet data to show this novel fact. Factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012981605
This paper proposes a new double-question survey method that elicits information about how individuals subjective …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963776
Monetary policy shocks have a large impact on aggregate stock market returns in narrow event windows around press releases by the Federal Open Market Committee. We use spatial autoregressions to decompose the overall effect of monetary policy shocks into a direct (demand) effect and an indirect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012953959
We show that dealers' limited market participation, coupled with an informational friction resulting from lack of market transparency, can make liquidity demand upward sloping, inducing strategic complementarities: traders demand more liquidity when the market becomes less liquid, fostering...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902334
We study the impact of diverse beliefs on conduct of monetary policy. We use a New Keynesian Model solved with a quadratic approximation. Aggregation renders the belief distribution an aggregate state variable. Diverse expectations change standard results about a smooth trade-off between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024741
Information about the future may be instrumentally useful, yet scary. For example, many patients shy away from precise … interacts with an instrumental need for information. The same result emerges when patients rely on probability weighting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315497
This paper explores the role of information transmission in explaining donors' choice between project aid and budget … example of a “delegation-scheme.” Conversely, project aid represents a more “centralized” type of aid. According to the theory …, when countries' local knowledge is more important than donors' information, recipient countries' discretion in the choice …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073609