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Asset Pricing with Uncertain Betas : A Long-Term Perspective
Gollier, Christian - 2013
How should one evaluate investment projects whose CCAPM betas are uncertain? This question is particularly crucial for projects yielding long-lasting impacts on the economy, as is the case for example for many green investments. We define the notion of a certainty equivalent beta. We show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087728
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Inflation, Endogenous Market Segmentation and the Term Structure of Interest Rates
de Vries, Casper G. - 2015
The term structure of interest rates does not adhere to the expectations hypothesis, possibly due to a risk premium. We consider the implications of a risk premium that arises from endogenous market segmentation driven by variable inflation rates. In the absence of autocorrelation in inflation,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013019404
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Restrictions on Risk Prices in Dynamic Term Structure Models
Bauer, Michael - 2015
Restrictions on the risk-pricing in dynamic term structure models (DTSMs) can unleash the power of no-arbitrage by creating a tighter link between cross-sectional and time-series variation of interest rates. This paper presents a new econometric framework for estimation of affine Gaussian DTSMs...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013025968
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Evaluation of Long-Dated Investments Under Uncertain Growth Trend, Volatility and Catastrophes
Gollier, Christian - 2021
Because of the uncertainty about how to model the growth process of our economy, there is still much confusion about which discount rates should be used to evaluate actions having long-lasting impacts, as in the contexts of climate change, social security reforms or large public infrastructures...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315817
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How Should the Distant Future Be Discounted When Discount Rates are Uncertain?
Gollier, Christian; Weitzman, Martin - 2021
It is not immediately clear how to discount distant-future events, like climate change, when the distant-future discount rate itself is uncertain. The so-called “Weitzman-Gollier puzzle” is the fact that two seemingly symmetric and equally plausible ways of dealing with uncertain future...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316287
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An Extended Macro-Finance Model with Financial Factors
Dewachter, Hans - 2013
This paper extends the benchmark Macro-Finance model by introducing, next to the standard macroeconomic factors, additional liquidity-related and return forecasting factors. Liquidity factors are obtained from a decomposition of the TED spread while the return-forecasting (risk premium) factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095098
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The Rate of Return on Everything, 1870-2015
Jordà, Òscar - 2018
This paper answers fundamental questions that have preoccupied modern economic thought since the 18th century. What is the aggregate real rate of return in the economy? Is it higher than the growth rate of the economy and, if so, by how much? Is there a tendency for returns to fall in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012921279
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Climate Change and Long-Run Discount Rates : Evidence from Real Estate
Giglio, Stefano - 2015
The optimal investment to mitigate climate change crucially depends on the discount rate used to evaluate the investment's uncertain future benefits. The appropriate discount rate is a function of the horizon over which these benefits accrue and the riskiness of the investment. In this paper, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013009875
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Cash Flow Duration and the Term Structure of Equity Returns
Weber, Michael - 2016
The term structure of equity returns is downward-sloping: stocks with high cash flow duration earn 1.10% per month lower returns than short-duration stocks in the cross section. I create a measure of cash flow duration at the firm level using balance sheet data to show this novel fact. Factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012981605
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Dividend Taxation and the Cost of New Share Issues
Lindhe, Tobias - 2014
This paper examines how the effects of dividend taxation on the cost of new equity funds depend on whether or not … shareholders can recover their original equity injections without being subject to the dividend tax. We point out the alternative … that the shareholders cannot recover their original equity injections without being subject to the dividend tax …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013045348