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Stranded Assets, the Social Cost of Carbon, and Directed Technical Change : Macroeconomic Dynamics of Optimal Climate Policy
van der Ploeg, Rick - 2016
The tractable general equilibrium model developed by Golosov et al. (2014), GHKT for short, is modified to allow for stock-dependent fossil fuel extraction costs and partial exhaustion of fossil fuel reserves, a negative impact of global warming on growth, mean reversion in climate damages,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012996198
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Dark Clouds or Silver Linings? Knightian Uncertainty and Climate Change
Chen, Yu-Fu - 2013
This paper examines the impact of Knightian uncertainty upon optimal climate policy through the prism of a continuous-time real option modelling framework. We analytically determine optimal intertemporal climate policies under ambiguity. Additionally, numerical simulations are provided to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092649
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International Environmental Agreements with Uncertainty, Learning and Risk Aversion
Finus, Michael - 2014
role of learning and risk aversion. It bridges two strands of literature: one focused on the role learning for the success … of IEA formation when countries are risk neutral and another that explores the implications of uncertainty and risk … aversion on IEA formation under no learning. Combining learning and risk aversion seems appropriate as the uncertainties …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013059058
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On the Sensitivity of Collective Action to Uncertainty About Climate Tipping Points
Barrett, Scott; Dannenberg, Astrid - 2021
threshold is uncertain. Theory suggests that behavior should differ dramatically either side of a dividing line for threshold …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315630
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The Fatter the Tail, the Fatter the Climate Agreement - Simulating the Influence of Fat Tails in Climate Change Damages on the Success of International Climate Negotiations
Dekker, Thijs; Dellink, Rob; Ketterer, Janina - 2021
International climate negotiations take place in a setting where uncertainties regarding the impacts of climate change are very large. In this paper, we examine the influence of increasing the probability and impact of large climate change damages, also known as the ‘fat tail’, on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315816
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Climate Treaties and Approaching Catastrophes
Barrett, Scott - 2021
If the threshold that triggers climate catastrophe is known with certainty, and the benefits of avoiding catastrophe are high relative to the costs, treaties can easily coordinate countries’ behavior so as to avoid the threshold. Where the net benefits of avoiding catastrophe are lower,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315826
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Race to Burn the Last Ton of Carbon and the Risk of Stranded Assets
van der Ploeg, Rick - 2018
. Finally, the mere risk of a cap on global warming being enforced at some unknown, future date makes fossil fuel extraction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012927734
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Robustness of a Simple Rule for the Social Cost of Carbon
Rezai, Armon - 2015
The optimal social cost of carbon is in general equilibrium proportional to GDP if utility is logarithmic, production is Cobb-Douglas, depreciation in 100% every period, climate damages as fraction of production decline exponentially with the stock of atmospheric carbon, and fossil fuel...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013033798
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Climate Policy Enhances Efficiency : A Macroeconomic Portfolio Effect
Siegmeier, Jan - 2015
Carbon pricing regulates emission flows and collects rents from underlying fossil resource stocks. The resulting investment shift implies lower climate policy costs and improved welfare if capital is underaccumulated. We prove that under emission trading, such a beneficial macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013029498
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Modeling Uncertainty in Climate Change : A Multi-Model Comparison
Gillingham, Kenneth - 2015
The economics of climate change involves a vast array of uncertainties, complicating both the analysis and development of climate policy. This study presents the results of the first comprehensive study of uncertainty in climate change using multiple integrated assessment models. The study looks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013013082