This paper estimates a time-varying AR-GARCH model of inflation producing measures of inflation uncertainty for the … policy regime change associated with the start of EMU in 1999. The main findings are as follows. Steady-state inflation and … inflation uncertainty have declined steadily since the inception of EMU, whilst short-run uncertainty has increased, mainly …

This paper uses the European Commission's Consumer Survey to assess whether inflation expectations have converged and … whether inflation uncertainty has diminished following the introduction of the Euro in Europe. Consumers' responses to the … survey suggest that inflation expectations depend more on past national inflation rates than on the ECB's anchor for price …

This paper investigates the relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty in twelve EMU countries. A time …-varying GARCH model is estimated to distinguish between short-run and steady-state inflation uncertainty. The effects of the …-state inflation has generally remained stable, steady-state inflation uncertainty and inflation persistence have both increased, and …

While the financial protection measures enacted by the ECB and the community of Eurozone members have calmed financial … markets, they have left the competitiveness problem of the Eurozone's southern countries and France unresolved. The paper … compares price inflation before the crisis with the necessary and actual price cuts that have taken place since the outbreak of …

This paper presents a stress indicator for the eurozone that summarizes developments of trends and cycles in real GDP … and inflation in the member countries. Stress in a country is defined as the difference between the country's actual short … that stress in the eurozone is mainly due to different trend growth rates and that for most of the Euro-zone countries …

variables, should not affect agents' expectations of inflation in the long term. Our estimated structural VARs show that both … long- and short-term inflation expectations are sensible to policy-related uncertainty shocks. A rise of long …-term inflation expectations in times of economic contraction, in response to such shocks, suggests that heightened policy uncertainty …

sensitivity of import prices has not fallen since 1999. We also point out a significant role played by the inflation in the … Eurozone, as the responsiveness of import prices to exchange rate fluctuations tends to decline in a low and more stable … inflation environment. Overall, our findings support the view that the extent of pass-through is comprised of both macro- and …

the shift towards reduced inflation regimes in our sample of countries. Finally, we notice that the distinction between …