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data for the war on drugs in Colombia, and against consumption in the U.S., to calibrate the unobservable parameters of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316449
This paper shows how a world price shock can increase the likelihood that democratization must be used to resolve the … price shock can push the country into a situation where the elite face a commitment problem that only democratization can … resolve. Because the world price shock may also reduce average incomes, the model provides a way to understand why the level …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315548
For a panel of 75 countries, we find that increases in global agricultural commodity prices that are caused by unfavorable harvest shocks in other regions of the world significantly curtail domestic economic activity. The effects are much larger than for average global agricultural price shifts....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012915574
The aggregate economic impact of any developmental project depends on its effects within the chosen administrative region as well as its economic spillovers into other regions. However, little is known about how these spillovers propagate through geographic, ethnic and road networks. In this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012916562
We reconsider the relationship between oil and conflict, focusing on the location of oil resources. In a panel of 132 countries over the period 1962-2009, we show that oil windfalls increase the probability of conflict in onshore-rich countries, while they decrease this probability in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960998
We study whether the spatial distribution of natural resources across different ethnic groups within countries impede spatial inequality, national economic performance, and the incidence of armed conflict. By providing a theoretical rent-seeking model and analysing a set of geocoded data for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012962986
This paper investigates whether there is an S-Curve in Colombia using bilateral and disaggregated quarterly data for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012988896
We investigate the effect of education Conditional Cash Transfer programs (CCTs) on teenage pregnancy. Our main concern is with how the size and sign of the effect may depend on the design of the program. Using a simple model we show that an education CCT that conditions renewal on school...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315991
This paper develops a theory of firm selection and growth and embeds it into an international trade framework of balanced growth. I assume that firm-level growth is the result of idiosyncratic productivity improvements while there is continuous arrival of new potential producers. Firms can also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316364
We combine original geo-referenced data on mining extraction of 15 minerals with information on conflict events at spatial resolution of 0.5o x 0.5o for all Africa over 1997-2010. Exploiting exogenous variations in world prices, we find a positive impact of mining on conflict at the local level....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013019854