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A Note on the Computation of the Equity Premium and the Market Value of Firm Equity

Heer, Burkhard - 2010

Turnovsky (1995) derives in a continuous-time model of a decentralized economy that the correct specification of the firm's objective function is to maximize the initial value of its outstanding securities. The firm value is the discounted flow of real earnings. For the discrete-time version of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013143832

Systematic Consumption Risk in Currency Returns

Hoffmann, Mathias - 2013

boom yields consistently positive excess returns. This excess return compensates for the risk of high negative returns in … countries on risk aversion, and low (high) risk aversion currencies depreciate (appreciate) in times of global turmoil …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013080499

Proprietary Income, Entrepreneurial Risk, and the Predictability of U.S. Stock Returns

Hoffmann, Mathias - 2021

.S. stock market wealth. Fluctuations in entrepreneurs' hunger for risk could therefore help explain time variation in the … fluctuations in proprietary income, is highly correlated with cross-sectional measures of idiosyncratic entrepreneurial risk and … as entrepreneurial risk has become more easily diversifiable in the wake of U.S. state-level bank deregulation …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317587

Conflict, Settlement, and the Shadow of the Future

McBride, Michael - 2010

In many instances of potential violent or non-violent conflict the future strategic positions of adversaries are very different when there is open conflict than when there is settlement. In such environments we show that, as the future becomes more important, open conflict becomes more likely...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013149006

Why Does Idiosyncratic Risk Increase with Market Risk

Bartram, Söhnke M. - 2017

From 1963 through 2015, idiosyncratic risk (IR) is high when market risk (MR) is high. We show that the positive … has roots in fundamentals. Higher market risk predicts greater idiosyncratic earnings volatility as well as dispersion and …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012950299

Double-Question Survey Measures for the Analysis of Financial Bubbles and Crashes

Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2017

This paper proposes a new double-question survey method that elicits information about how individuals subjective belief valuations are compared and related to their price expectations. An individual respondent is presented with two sets of questions, one that asks about his/her belief regarding...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963776

Multilateral Loans and Interest Rates : Further Evidence on the Seniority Conundrum

Steinkamp, Sven - 2017

During Europe's sovereign-debt crisis, interest rate spreads have been highly correlated with the share of multilateral loans that were considered senior to private markets. As both variables are potentially endogenous, we follow two different approaches to analyze the direction of causality....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012965635

Is Market Fear Persistent? A Long-Memory Analysis?

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2017

This paper investigates the degree of persistence of market fear. Specifically, two different long-memory approaches (R/S analysis with the Hurst exponent method and fractional integration) are used to analyse persistence of the VIX index over the sample period 2004-2016, as well as some...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012951779

Monetary Policy Through Production Networks : Evidence from the Stock Market

Ozdagli, Ali - 2017

Monetary policy shocks have a large impact on aggregate stock market returns in narrow event windows around press releases by the Federal Open Market Committee. We use spatial autoregressions to decompose the overall effect of monetary policy shocks into a direct (demand) effect and an indirect...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012953959

Testing for Alpha in Linear Factor Pricing Models with a Large Number of Securities

Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2017

This paper proposes a novel test of zero pricing errors for the linear factor pricing model when the number of securities, N, can be large relative to the time dimension, T, of the return series. The test is based on Student t tests of individual securities and has a number of advantages over...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012955752