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We propose a nonparametric method to study which characteristics provide incremental information for the cross section of expected returns. We use the adaptive group LASSO to select characteristics and to estimate how they affect expected returns nonparametrically. Our method can handle a large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910613
We propose a nonparametric method to test which characteristics provide independent information for the cross section of expected returns. We use the adaptive group LASSO to select characteristics and to estimate how they affect expected returns nonparametrically. Our method can handle a large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012958874
conditional volatility across investment horizons. The results reveal the same kind of horizon effect as the one found in recent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013160520
probability of macroeconomic catastrophes à la Barro (2006), and to the case of an uncertain trend or volatility of growth à la …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315817
ten sectoral indices over the period January 1997-Febraury 2014. The estimation of a bivariate VAR-GARCH-in-mean model … suggests that oil price volatility affects stock returns positively during periods characterised by demand-side shocks in all …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013050468
show that a greater reliance on foreign market sales increases the conditional volatility of firms' stock returns. The two … economically significant effect on firm-level volatility, although an increase in the intensity of sales through foreign affiliates … has a stronger effect on volatility than a similar change in firms' export intensity. We also uncover evidence consistent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013000911
problematic than in equity markets due to the lack of a passive investment strategy and the multitude of alternative formulations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081705
We construct a slope factor from changes in federal funds futures of different horizons. Slope predicts stock returns at the weekly frequency: faster monetary policy easing positively predicts excess returns. Investors can achieve increases in weekly Sharpe ratios of 20% conditioning on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012965931
The term structure of equity returns is downward-sloping: stocks with high cash flow duration earn 1.10% per month lower returns than short-duration stocks in the cross section. I create a measure of cash flow duration at the firm level using balance sheet data to show this novel fact. Factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012981605
We provide a systematic analysis of the properties of individual returns to wealth using twelve years of population data from Norway's administrative tax records. We document a number of novel results. First, during our sample period individuals earn markedly different average returns on their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012913195