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, volatility, and cross-market GARCH-in-mean effects. Hypotheses about the importance of different channels are tested. The results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095613
This paper answers fundamental questions that have preoccupied modern economic thought since the 18th century. What is the aggregate real rate of return in the economy? Is it higher than the growth rate of the economy and, if so, by how much? Is there a tendency for returns to fall in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012921279
In this paper we model the volatility of the spread between the overnight interest rate and the central bank policy … 2007. During the crisis, the policy spread exhibited signs of volatility, owing to the breakdown in interbank market … activity. The determinants of this volatility are assessed using Stochastic Volatility models to gauge the role played by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094544
probability of macroeconomic catastrophes à la Barro (2006), and to the case of an uncertain trend or volatility of growth à la …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315817
Turnovsky (1995) derives in a continuous-time model of a decentralized economy that the correct specification of the firm's objective function is to maximize the initial value of its outstanding securities. The firm value is the discounted flow of real earnings. For the discrete-time version of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013143832
activity. However, using U.S. data since 1950 we show that the macroeconomic response pattern to stock market volatility shocks … decomposition for consumption growth shows that the contribution of stock market volatility becomes negligible as we go from earlier … of stock market volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117909
volatility spillovers during global financial crisis and tranquil periods. The resulting market interconnectedness is depicted by … between markets and somewhat weaker temporal effects with regard to the US equity market – volatility spillovers decrease when … markets are characterized by greater temporal proximity. Volatility spillovers also present a high degree of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012954361
. Positive (negative) news have significant positive (negative) effects on stock returns in all cases. Their volatility has a … significant impact on both stock returns and volatility; specifically, an increase in news volatility is always associated with a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013048822
Russia. The adopted framework allows to analyse interdependence by estimating volatility spillovers, and also contagion by … testing for possible shifts in the transmission of volatility following the introduction of the euro and EU accession. Further …. Furthermore, whilst the introduction of the euro has had mixed effects, EU accession has resulted in an increase in volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095004
describe the most typical features of capital markets like volatility clustering, excess kurtosis and fat tails. As empirical … evidence shows asymmetry is also a prominent feature of stock market returns volatility. The reaction of risk if stock returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316234