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De Paoli, Scott, and Weeken (2010, Asset pricing implications of a New Keynesian model. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 34, 2056-73) study equity and bonds prices in a New Keynesian model with sticky nominal prices. This note argues that their model generates a behavior of the labor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013089158
This study assesses the short and long-run behaviour of long-term sovereign bond yields in OECD countries, for the … factors (inflation, budgetary and current account imbalances, real effective exchange rates, and liquidity) …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135912
The term structure of equity returns is downward-sloping: stocks with high cash flow duration earn 1.10% per month lower returns than short-duration stocks in the cross section. I create a measure of cash flow duration at the firm level using balance sheet data to show this novel fact. Factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012981605
This paper extends the benchmark Macro-Finance model by introducing, next to the standard macroeconomic factors, additional liquidity-related and return forecasting factors. Liquidity factors are obtained from a decomposition of the TED spread while the return-forecasting (risk premium) factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095098
Because of the uncertainty about how to model the growth process of our economy, there is still much confusion about which discount rates should be used to evaluate actions having long-lasting impacts, as in the contexts of climate change, social security reforms or large public infrastructures...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315817
structure can help predict interest rates and excess bond returns. We demonstrate that the statistical tests that have been used … slope of the yield curve are robust predictors of excess bond returns, and there is no robust and convincing evidence for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013012562
consider the implications of a risk premium that arises from endogenous market segmentation driven by variable inflation rates …. In the absence of autocorrelation in inflation, the risk premium is constant. If inflation is correlated, however, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013019404
We analyze the worst currency carry loss episodes in recent decades, including causes, attribution by currency, timing, and the duration of carry drawdowns. To explore the determinants of the length of carry losses, a model of carry drawdown duration is estimated. We find evidence that drawdown...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012965697
In this paper we use a representative consumer model to analyse the equilibrium relation between the transitory deviations from the common trend among consumption, aggregate wealth, and labour income, cay, and focus on the implications for both stock returns and housing returns. The evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092228
.e., perfectly correlated with) model-implied bond yields. However, this theoretical implication appears inconsistent with … regressions showing that much macroeconomic variation is unspanned and that the unspanned variation helps forecast excess bond …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013028787