Showing 1 - 10 of 1,866
the no-change forecast. Our key finding is that substantial reductions in the mean-squared prediction error (MSPE) of … greater reductions in MSPEs are possible by constructing a pooled forecast that assigns equal weight to five of the most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012996647
lives for three periods. Our results show how a paternalistic government may correct for the effects of anticipation-bias …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104834
The term structure of equity returns is downward-sloping: stocks with high cash flow duration earn 1.10% per month lower returns than short-duration stocks in the cross section. I create a measure of cash flow duration at the firm level using balance sheet data to show this novel fact. Factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012981605
This paper sheds new light on a long-standing puzzle in the international finance literature, namely, that exchange rate expectations appear inaccurate and even irrational. We find for a comprehensive dataset that individual forecasters' performance is skill-based. 'Superior' forecasters show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095998
How should one evaluate investment projects whose CCAPM betas are uncertain? This question is particularly crucial for projects yielding long-lasting impacts on the economy, as is the case for example for many green investments. We define the notion of a certainty equivalent beta. We show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087728
This paper extends the Mirrlees (1971) model of optimal non-linear income taxation with a monitoring technology that allows the government to verify labor effort at a positive, but non-infinite cost. Monitored individuals receive a penalty, which increases if individuals earn a lower income...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013057256
When companies finance their investment via the international markets for stocks and bonds, relief from domestic personal taxes on dividends and capital gains will not reduce the cost of capital. Some authors have shown that even for small domestic companies whose shares are not traded...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013040485
We contribute to the finance literature in two main ways. First, we present a theoretical capital asset pricing model (CAPM) to price assets in different market structures. Second, we use our model to analyze whether when markets are partially segmented using the local or the global CAPM yields...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086974
costs and contract enforcement in the source country. We extend the theory and test two additional predictions. First, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013077465
This paper reconsiders the effects of dividend taxation. Particular attention is paid to the form of the "equity trap", that is, the extent to which cash paid to the shareholders must be taxed as dividends. Our analysis shows that Sinn's (1991) criticism of the well-known King and Fullerton...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316375