Showing 1 - 10 of 278
gains and losses against the belief's objective performance. Consistent with empirical evidence, belief updating in this … model is conservative and can be asymmetric, so that bad news is updated more conservatively than good news. These updating … are information seeking otherwise. Because belief updating depends on the decision problem in which new information is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012978311
The literature on learning in unknown environments emphasises reinforcing on actions which produce positive results. But, in some cases, success requires shifting from a currently successful actions to others. We examine, experimentally and theoretically in a very simple framework, how...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012982511
We study the influence of reason and intuition on decision making over time. Facing a sequence of similar problems, agents can either decide rationally according to expected utility theory or intuitively according to case-based decision theory. Rational decisions are more precise but create...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013030327
Adding a stage of signal acquisition to the expected utility model shows that Bayesian updating results in a well … is removed. Signals mutually benefit homogeneous investors because revealing asset price permits updating so that a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005405923
We study the influence of reason and intuition on decision making over time. Facing a sequence of similar problems, agents can either decide rationally according to expected utility theory or intuitively according to case-based decision theory. Rational decisions are more precise but create...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011103391
This paper studies how updating affects ambiguity-attitude. In particular we focus on the generalized Bayesian update … be the same before and after updating. A necessary and sufficient condition for ambiguity-attitude to be unchanged when … whether ambiguity increases or decreases after updating. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010539152
contribution, the paper extends the smooth ambiguity model by providing a threefold disentanglement between, risk aversion …, ambiguity aversion, and the propensity to smooth consumption over time. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009645646
We study risk attitudes, ambiguity attitudes, and time preferences of 661 children and adolescents, aged ten to … mass index, are less likely to save money and show worse conduct at school. Experimental measures for risk and ambiguity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009364730
We show that ambiguity aversion increases the value of a statistical life as soon as the marginal utility of wealth is … higher if alive than dead. The intuition is that ambiguity aversion has a similar effect as an increase in the perceived … baseline mortality risk, and thus operates as the “dead anyway” effect. We suggest, however, that ambiguity aversion should …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005406403
In the simple Allingham-Sandmo portfolio model of tax evasion an expected utility maximizer will cheat more than what is estimated in empirical studies. Two main types of explanation have been suggested as solutions to this puzzle: (1) Tax payers act according to some non-expected utility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136684