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Fertility has long been declining in industrialised countries and the existence of public pension systems is considered as one of the causes. This paper is the first to provide detailed evidence based on historical data on the mechanism by which a public pension system depresses fertility. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315719
Public pay-as-you-go pensions still form the dominant pillar of old-age provision in Germany. This is in marked contrast to the situation in Anglo-Saxon countries. It has advantages if labour markets are strong, e.g., following a quick recovery from the Great Recession. It has disadvantages, as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012996684
İmrohoroğlu, İmrohoroğlu and Joines [1995, A life-cycle analysis of Social Security, Economic Theory, vol. 6, 83-114] show that the optimal replacement ratio of the pay-as-you-go public pension system in the US economy amounts to 30%. We extend their analysis to a model that 1) replicates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013028781
This paper explores the introduction of collective risk-sharing elements in defined contribution pension contracts. We consider status-contingent, age-contingent and asset contingent risk-sharing arrangements. All arrangements raise aggregate welfare, as measured by equivalent variations. While...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118167
The paper analyses the impact of demographic developments on the German pension system until the year 2060. The projections are simulated for a range of assumptions on the latest demographic trends and on the labour market and comprise the latest pension legislation. As a central innovation we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012926557
In this paper, we consider how the hours of work and retirement age ought to respond to a change in the uncertainty of … individuals' labor supply and retirement-decisions, the results show that a decrease in the standard deviation of life …-length leads to an increase in the optimal retirement age and a decrease in the hours of work per period spent working. This result …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012919245
How can retirement savings be increased? We explore a unique policy change in the context of the German pension system … these letters on the behavior of individuals. We find an increase in tax-deductible private retirement savings and provide …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012925277
Conventional pension systems suffer from a design defect which makes them financially unsustainable, and a source of inefficiency for the economy as a whole. The paper outlines a second-best policy which includes a public pension system made up of two parallel schemes, a Bismarckian one allowing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316388
scheme (“second pillar”) that will provide increasing amounts of supplementary pensions to those entering retirement in the … reforming the system, highlighting their potential impact on pension finances, public budgets, and retirement incomes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012996683
mortality process. Individual agents choose their optimal retirement age, taking into account the time - and age profiles of … wages, taxes, and the public pension system. The early retirement provision in most pension systems acts as a trap, inducing … most workers to retire well before the normal retirement age. Simulations show that pension reform must be drastic for it …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317087