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The Greek Debt Crisis : Likely Causes, Mechanics and Outcomes
Arghyrou, Michael - 2010
We use insights from the literature on currency crises to offer an analytical treatment of the crisis in the market for Greek government bonds. We argue that the crisis itself and its escalating nature are very likely to be the result of: (a) steady deterioration of Greek macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135455
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Quality and the Great Trade Collapse
Chen, Natalie - 2015
We explore whether the global financial crisis has had heterogeneous effects on traded goods differentiated by quality. Combining a dataset of Argentinean firm-level destination-specific wine exports with quality ratings, we show that higher quality exports grew faster before the crisis, but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013010482
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Global Banking, Trade, and the International Transmission of the Great Recession
Born, Alexandra - 2018
The global financial crisis of 2007-2009 spread through different channels from its origin in the United States to large parts of the world. In this paper we explore the financial and the trade channel in a unified framework and quantify their relative importance for this transmission....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012920861
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US Monetary Policy in a Globalized World
Cuaresma, Jesús Crespo - 2016
policy shock leads to a persistent fall in international output, a drop in global inflation rates, a rise in international … shock to foreign real GDP growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012994181
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Business Cycles, International Trade and Capital Flows : Evidence from Latin America
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2013
This paper adopts a flexible framework to assess both short- and long-run business cycle linkages between six Latin American (LA) countries and the four largest economies in the world (namely the US, the Euro area, Japan and China) over the period 1980:I-2011:IV. The result indicate that within...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013089557
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The Structural Behavior of China-US Trade Flows
Cheung, Yin-Wong - 2015
We examine Chinese-US trade flows over the 1994-2012 period, and find that, in line with the conventional wisdom, the value of China's exports to the US responds negatively to real renminbi (RMB) appreciation, while import responds positively. Further, the combined empirical price effects on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013030306
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Estimating the Effects of Coordinated Fiscal Actions in the Euro Area
Hebous, Shafik - 2012
We estimate spillover effects of a fiscal shock in one member country in the euro area on outputs of the rest of the … members, using a Global Vector Autoregression (GVAR) model. We compare the effects of a domestic fiscal shock with those of a … similar size area-wide shock expressed as a weighted average of the fiscal shocks across all member countries. According to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013101197
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International Inflation Spillovers Through Input Linkages
Auer, Raphael - 2017
We document that observed international input-output linkages contribute substantially to synchronizing producer price inflation (PPI) across countries. Using a multi-country, industry-level dataset that combines information on PPI and exchange rates with international and domestic input-output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012958731
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The Globalisation of Inflation : The Growing Importance of Global Value Chains
Auer, Raphael - 2017
Greater international economic interconnectedness over recent decades has been changing inflation dynamics. This paper presents evidence that the expansion of global value chains (GVCs), ie cross-border trade in intermediate goods and services, is an important channel through which global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012958886
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Cross-Border Effects of Fiscal Consolidations : Estimates Based on Narrative Records
Hebous, Shafik; Zimmermann, Tom - 2021
We estimate cross-border spillover effects of fiscal consolidation episodes on output, bilateral trade flows, interest rate, and the exchange rate, employing the new IMF action-based fiscal consolidation data. Results indicate a negative effect of foreign fiscal consolidation policies on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315746