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and the real-time prediction of professional forecasters. We find that optimism shocks – in line with theory - generate a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938129
This paper studies a new aspect of firms' expectation formation by asking whether expectations primarily reflect aggregate, industry-wide information (e.g., industry trends) or disaggregate information (e.g., firm-specific information). First, we show that disaggregate information is strongly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012929261
This paper explores whether the cost channel solves the price puzzle. We set-up a New Keynesian DSGE model and estimate it for the euro area by adopting a minimum distance approach. Our findings suggest that - under certain parameter restrictions which are not rejected by the data - the cost...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012753889
This paper tests the ability of popular New Keynesian models, which are traditionally used to study monetary policy and business cycles, to match the data regarding a key channel for monetary transmission: the dynamic interactions between macroeconomic variables and their corresponding...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012979607
financial institutions in the transmission of credit and technology shocks to the real economy. A positive credit shock, defined … between loan and deposit rates. The effects of the credit shock tend to be highly persistent even without price rigidities and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119521
This paper employs a panel vector autoregressive model for the member countries of the Euro Area to explore the role of banks during the slump of the real economy that followed the financial crisis. In particular, we seek to quantify the macroeconomic effects of adverse loan supply shocks, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316038
milder macroeconomic responses to a monetary policy shock estimated with our VAR in presence of high uncertainty. A version …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012926998
Empirical and institutional evidence finds considerable time variation in the degree of wage indexation to past inflation, a finding that is at odds with the assumption of constant indexation parameters in most New-Keynesian DSGE models. We build a DSGE model with endogenous wage indexation in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013052090
explaining the consumption path after a Marginal Efficiency of Investment shock. We use an otherwise standard medium-scale New …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012984510
This paper proposes a novel mechanism by which changes in the distribution of money holdings have real effects. Specifically, I develop a flexible-price model of segmented asset markets that generates real aggregate effects of monetary policy through the dependence of optimal markups on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012933792