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making and risk management. Over the past three decades there has been a trend towards increased asset return correlations … models proposed in the literature can be used to formally characterize and quantify market risk. In particular, we ask how … adequate these models are for modelling market risk at times of financial crisis. In doing so we consider a multivariate t …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094817
In the empirical literature, only few studies have focused on the relationship between oil prices and stock markets in net oil-importing countries. In net oil-exporting countries this relationship has not been widely researched. This paper implements the panel-data approach of Kónya (2006),...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316262
markets. Since GCC countries are major world energy market players, their stock markets are likely to be susceptible to oil …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316349
Our paper examines the effect of oil price changes on Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) stock markets using nonlinear smooth transition regression (STR) models. Contrary to conventional wisdom, our empirical results reveal that GCC stock markets do not have similar sensitivities to oil price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012914946
This paper investigates the time-varying impact of oil price uncertainty on stock prices in China using weekly data on ten sectoral indices over the period January 1997-Febraury 2014. The estimation of a bivariate VAR-GARCH-in-mean model suggests that oil price volatility affects stock returns...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013050468
demand and supply shocks. The results show that higher macroeconomic uncertainty, as measured by higher world industrial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065379
has proved difficult in practice, because time-varying risk premia often render the futures price a poor measure of the … the futures price by the estimated risk premium, a common problem is that there are as many measures of the market … expectation as there are estimates of the risk premium. We propose a general solution to this problem that allows us to select the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012996209
There is substantial consensus in the literature that positive uncertainty shocks predict a slowdown of economic activity. However, using U.S. data since 1950 we show that the macroeconomic response pattern to stock market volatility shocks has changed substantially over time. The negative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117909
We compare the economic consequences of several types of oil shocks across a set of industrialized countries that are structurally very diverse with respect to the role of oil and other forms of energy in their economy. We find considerably different effects across countries, which crucially...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013068762
efficiency improvements are policy-induced in certain regions of the world. We are especially interested in feedback mechanisms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013015360