-adjusted mortality rates of residents of Germany, using longitudinal, annual, state-level data during the period 2000-2007. The estimates …-adjusted cancer mortality rates of residents of France, using longitudinal, annual, cancer-site-level data during the period 2002 … mortality rates, and may have accounted for as much as half of the decline …

has implications for the estimation of economic models of energy-intensive durables, for oil price forecasting, and for …

This paper considers forecast averaging when the same model is used but estimation is carried out over different … estimation windows leads to a lower bias and to a lower root mean square forecast error for all but the smallest of breaks … estimation windows. It develops theoretical results for random walks when their drift and/or volatility are subject to one or …

study was subject to a number of major methodological flaws. Many of their claims pertain to the role of infant mortality …. I show that infant mortality was not an important determinant of the growth in U.S. life expectancy during the period … that I studied, and that my estimates are completely insensitive to the inclusion or exclusion of infant mortality …