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Bank of England Interest Rate Announcements and the Foreign Exchange Market
Melvin, Michael - 2013
Since 1997, the Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) has met monthly to set the UK policy interest rate. We examine evidence of systematic patterns in exchange rate movements on MPC days over the first decade of operation of the MPC. Daily data reveal significant differences in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013096000
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The Impact of Macro News and Central Bank Communication on Emerging European Forex Markets
Égert, Balázs - 2013
We employ two-stage empirical strategy to analyze the impact of macroeconomic news and central bank communication on the exchange rates of three Central and Eastern European (CEE) currencies against the euro. First we estimate the nominal equilibrium exchange rate based on a monetary model....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013079876
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Modeling Optimism and Pessimism in the Foreign Exchange Market
De Grauwe, Paul; Rovira Kaltwasser, Pablo - 2021
In this paper we model how the existence of different beliefs about the underlying fundamental value of a currency affects the dynamics of the exchange rate. We find that a divergence of beliefs creates the potential for waves of optimism and pessimism that alternate in an unpredictable way....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317108
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Volatility Transmission in Emerging European Foreign Exchange Markets
Bubak, Vit - 2013
This paper studies the dynamics of volatility transmission between Central European currencies and euro/dollar foreign exchange using model-free estimates of daily exchange rate volatility based on intraday data. We formulate a flexible yet parsimonious parametric model in which the daily...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094673
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The Crisis in the Foreign Exchange Market
Melvin, Michael - 2013
The financial crisis of 2007-2008 had major implications for the foreign exchange market. We review events and implications for exchange rates, volatility, returns to currency investing, and transaction costs. This “blow-by-blow” narrative is intended to be a resource for researchers seeking...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095774
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Information Aggregation in Democratic Mechanisms
Britz, Volker - 2016
benefits only if they aggregate their private information. Some members of the society, however, are harmed by socially … desirable policies and aim at manipulating information aggregation by misrepresenting their private information. We show that … information can be aggregated and a socially desirable policy can be implemented under a new class of democratic mechanisms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012994342
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Private Monitoring, Collusion and the Timing of Information
Khalil, Fahad; Lawarree, Jacques P.; Scott, Troy Joseph - 2015
When a principal’s monitoring information is private (non-verifiable), the agent should be concerned that the principal … could misrepresent the information to reduce the agent’s wage or collect a monetary penalty. Restoring credibility may lead … when the private information arrives in time to rescale the agent’s effort. Rescaling is more effective than pure monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014043494
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Exchange Rate Forecasters' Performance: Evidence of Skill?
MacDonald, Ronald; Menkhoff, Lukas; Rebitzky, Rafael R. - CESifo - 2009
This paper sheds new light on a long-standing puzzle in the international finance literature, namely, that exchange rate expectations appear inaccurate and even irrational. We find for a comprehensive dataset that individual forecasters’ performance is skill-based. ‘Superior’ forecasters...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005000372
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Bank of England Interest Rate Announcements and the Foreign Exchange Market
Melvin, Michael; Saborowski, Christian; Sager, Michael; … - CESifo - 2009
Since 1997, the Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) has met monthly to set the UK policy interest rate. We examine evidence of systematic patterns in exchange rate movements on MPC days over the first decade of operation of the MPC. Daily data reveal significant differences in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005000390
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Do Firms Sell Forward for Strategic Reasons? An Application to the Wholesale Market for Natural Gas
van Eijkel, Remco - 2010
empirical strategy to test whether oligopolistic firms use forward contracts for strategic motives, for risk-hedging, or for … both. An increase in the number of players weakens the incentives to sell forward for risk-hedging reasons. However, if …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135361