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monthly frequency. The econometric identification exploits exogenous monthly within-grid-cell variation in weather conditions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956892
is negative in all countries except Canada (where it is positive) in the case of bond flows. Under the assumption of risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081704
The economics of climate change involves a vast array of uncertainties, complicating both the analysis and development of climate policy. This study presents the results of the first comprehensive study of uncertainty in climate change using multiple integrated assessment models. The study looks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013013082
Recent theoretical work in the economics of climate change has suggested that climate policy is highly sensitive to ‘fat-tailed’ risks of catastrophic outcomes (Weitzman, 2009b). Such risks are suggested to be an inevitable consequence of scientific uncertainty about the effects of increased...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315705
Weakening bargaining power of unions and the increasing integration of the world economy may affect the volatility of … builds distribution risk into a real business cycle model, hypotheses on the determinants of the relative volatility of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316443
making and risk management. Over the past three decades there has been a trend towards increased asset return correlations … models proposed in the literature can be used to formally characterize and quantify market risk. In particular, we ask how … adequate these models are for modelling market risk at times of financial crisis. In doing so we consider a multivariate t …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094817
What risks do asset price bubbles pose for the economy? This paper studies bubbles in housing and equity markets in 17 countries over the past 140 years. History shows that not all bubbles are alike. Some have enormous costs for the economy, while others blow over. We demonstrate that what makes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013014986
This paper examines the relationship between idiosyncratic risk in labour income and fluctuations in aggregate labour … BHPS sub-sample of Understanding Society for 2010-2014. We measure idiosyncratic risk in labour income by the relevant … idiosyncratic risk increases during contractions in the labour market. Furthermore, we find evidence of insurance, both at the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012958452
lack of compensating differentials for unemployment risk can arise in equilibrium when all workers are identical and firms … risky tail of the distribution of firm-level unemployment risk. Meanwhile, unemployment becomes persistent for low-wage and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013060971
We introduce a new hybrid approach to joint estimation of Value at Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) for high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155427