the period 1972:1-2014:12 to forecasts our tail risk indicators with each model in pseudo-real time. Our key finding is …

use of model averaging techniques as a way of dealing with the risk of inadvertently using false models in portfolio … management. Evaluation of volatility models is then considered and a simple Value-at-Risk (VaR) diagnostic test is proposed for …

making and risk management. Over the past three decades there has been a trend towards increased asset return correlations … models proposed in the literature can be used to formally characterize and quantify market risk. In particular, we ask how … adequate these models are for modelling market risk at times of financial crisis. In doing so we consider a multivariate t …

This paper explores empirically the link between French equities returns Value-at-Risk (VaR) and the state of financial …

-horizon investors overstate the share of bonds in their portfolio choice when neglecting the horizon effect on risk of asset returns …

In accordance with Basel Capital Accords, the Capital Requirements (CR) for market risk exposure of banks is a … nonlinear function of Value-at-Risk (VaR). Importantly, the CR is calculated based on a bank's actual portfolio, i.e. the …

increasing term structure for the risk premium. It also implies that, under the assumption that the cummulants of the … investment is larger than half of relative risk aversion. Another important consequence of parametric uncertainty is that the … risk premium is not proportional to the beta of the investment. We apply these general results to the case of an uncertain …

In this paper, we provide evidence for a risk-taking channel of monetary policy transmission in the euro area that … works through an increase in shadow banks' total asset growth and their risk assets ratio. Our dataset covers the period …

How to incorporate hard-to-measure assets into the wealth tax? We analyze the effect of an optimal wealth tax on risk …, actually larger than the risk-free market rate of return. The market equilibrium and a proportional tax on the market portfolio … will ensure an efficient risk allocation between private and public consumption and across projects. Failing to apply an …