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In a seminal paper, Rose (2004) found that the assumed positive impact of the WTO on international trade was questionable. This finding has been scrutinized and modified in subsequent research, using different datasets, econometric methods and separating the WTO from other forms of trade...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081056
We develop a novel two-stage methodology that allows us to study the empirical determinants of the ex post effects of past free trade agreements (FTAs) as well as obtain ex ante predictions for the effects of future FTAs. We first identify 908 unique estimates of the effects of FTAs on different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012977471
since the Uruguay Round (1986 to 1994). It would create a free trade zone covering 45% of world GDP. However, critics … gains for Germany (3.5%), Europe (3.9%), and the world (1.6%), but that it could also harm third countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044668
We develop a new theoretical framework of trade agreement (TA) formation, called a ‘parallel contest', that emphasizes the political fight over TA ratification within countries. TA ratification is inherently uncertain in each country, where anti- and pro-trade interest groups contest each...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012918999
strategic manipulation of world prices. The policy prediction is unclear, however, since international cross-ownership also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012752227
This paper highlights the severity of China’s AD problems, and high concentration of AD actions taken by the top initiators, noting that China can offer a higher level of economic integration in an RTA in exchange for improved regional AD provisions. Case studies on RTAs give precedents in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315550
This paper reviews the most significant recent developments in the theory of trade agreements. The paper offers an integrated approach to evaluating trade agreements, and uses the approach to present results on preferential and multilateral trade agreements. The paper identifies also several...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316371
This paper uncovers new stylized facts on the relation between economic integration and world trade prices. Using … export price data combined with data on 32 WTO (World Trade Organization) accessions by developing countries and hundreds of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012915617
Asia accounts for more than 30% of world GDP and contributes half of the global growth in recent years. Despite high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317319
Helpman, Melitz and Rubinstein (2008) derive gravity equations to estimate effects of trade barriers on the intensive and extensive margins of trade. They exploit the frequency of zeros in aggregate bilateral trade data to identify effects on the extensive margin and to obtain controls for firm...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128040