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The Greek Crisis : Causes and Consequences
Garcia Pascual, Antonio I. - 2011
Greece has reached a point where, under any plausible macroeconomic scenario, public debt will continue growing faster … solvency and closing the competitiveness gap. Yet we think Greece stands a better chance of accomplishing these goals from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117780
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Austerity
Dellas, Harris - 2015
We shed light on the function, properties and optimal size of austerity using the standard sovereign debt model … augmented to include incomplete information about credit risk. Austerity is defined as the shortfall of consumption from the … level desired by a country and supported by its repayment capacity. We find that austerity serves as a tool for securing a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013030311
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Bringing French Public Debt Down : The Options for Fiscal Consolidation
Égert, Balázs - 2012
France has a track record of persistent general government deficits, partly reflecting pro-cyclical fiscal policies in upswings. This has resulted in a quadrupling of its public debt-to-GDP ratio since the 1970s to above 80% of GDP. Reducing public debt is crucial because a high level of public...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100902
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Evidence on Fiscal Consolidations and the Evolution of Public Debt in Europe
Cafiso, Gianluca - 2013
The objective of this paper is to gain insights into the relationship between deficit-reducing policies and the evolution of the debt/GDP ratio. We consider past events of fiscal consolidation in a selected group of EU countries, by using the new data set recently made available by Devries et...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013089185
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Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Adjustment : A Tale of Two Approaches
Yang, Weonho - 2013
We investigate the short-term effects of fiscal adjustment on economic activity in 20 OECD countries from 1970 to 2009. We compare two approaches: the traditional approach based on changes in cyclically adjusted primary balance (CAPB) and the narrative approach based on historical records....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075620
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The Limits of Political Compromise : Debt Ceilings and Political Turnover
Cunha, Alexandre B. - 2017
We study the desirability of limits on the public debt and of political turnover in an economy where incumbents have an incentive to set public expenditures above the socially optimal level due to rent-seeking motives. Parties alternate in office and cannot commit to future policies, but they...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956707
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Did Austerity Cause Brexit?
Fetzer, Thiemo - 2018
Did austerity cause Brexit? This paper shows that the rise of popular support for the UK Independence Party (UKIP), as … to austerity since 2010. In addition to exploiting data from the population of all electoral contests in the UK since … have resulted in a Remain victory had it not been for a range of austerity-induced welfare reforms. Further, auxiliary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910997
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Fiscal Transfers and Fiscal Sustainability
Potrafke, Niklas - 2014
We examine whether US and German state governments pursue sustainable fiscal policies taking into account fiscal transfers. Using panel data techniques we investigate whether the debt-to-GDP ratio had a positive influence on the primary surplus (Bohn-model). We show that including/excluding...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013055378
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Fiscal Consolidation and its Cross-Country Effects
Philippopoulos, Apostolis - 2016
We build a new Keynesian DSGE model consisting of two heterogeneous countries participating in a monetary union. We study how public debt consolidation in a country with high debt (like Italy) affects welfare in a country with solid public finances (like Germany). Our results show that debt...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012984567
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Trust in Government and Fiscal Adjustments
Bursian, Dirk - 2013
The paper looks at the determinants of fiscal adjustments as reflected in the primary surplus of countries. Our conjecture is that governments will usually find it more attractive to pursue fiscal adjustments in a situation of relatively high growth, but based on a simple stylized model of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013079290