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We develop a novel two-stage methodology that allows us to study the empirical determinants of the ex post effects of past free trade agreements (FTAs) as well as obtain ex ante predictions for the effects of future FTAs. We first identify 908 unique estimates of the effects of FTAs on different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012977471
since the Uruguay Round (1986 to 1994). It would create a free trade zone covering 45% of world GDP. However, critics … gains for Germany (3.5%), Europe (3.9%), and the world (1.6%), but that it could also harm third countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044668
This paper highlights the severity of China’s AD problems, and high concentration of AD actions taken by the top initiators, noting that China can offer a higher level of economic integration in an RTA in exchange for improved regional AD provisions. Case studies on RTAs give precedents in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315550
This paper reviews the most significant recent developments in the theory of trade agreements. The paper offers an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316371
rest of the world relative to the status quo. However, there is substantial heterogeneity across the 134 geographical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013030303
A key role of science-based non-governmental organizations (NGOs) is to communicate scientific knowledge to policymakers. However, recent evidence has emerged showing that industry-backed groups often attempt to undermine the credibility of such NGOs and weaken their ability to influence policy....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012977549
the threshold the opposite is true. Moreover, in a world without full learning (i.e. partial and no learning), risk … role of learning and risk aversion. It bridges two strands of literature: one focused on the role learning for the success … of IEA formation when countries are risk neutral and another that explores the implications of uncertainty and risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013059058
We study how the optimal degree of conservatism relates to decision-making procedures in a Monetary Policy Committee (MPC). In our framework, central bank conservatism is required to attenuate the volatility of monetary decisions generated by the presence of uncertainty about the committee...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013047346
The paper examines the monetary-fiscal interactions in a monetary union model with uncertainty due to imperfect central bank transparency. We first show that monetary uncertainty disciplines fiscal policymakers and thereby reduces taxes, average inflation and output distortions. However, as more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012753473
risk neutral investors are sensitive with respect to capital tax risk and may react in a surprising manner to a newly …, high capital tax risk delays high-risk innovative investment projects. To reduce unintended consequences of uncertain tax …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315489